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  1. Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Posts
    40,599
    #30021
    Quote Originally Posted by dr. d View Post
    the effects of the current lockdown won't be known until after the lockdown.
    the "new cases" we are seeing now, were most likely acquired before the current lockdown went into effect.
    And yun pumili doon sa mga vaccination site, isa lang meron doon and probably middle of next week labasan na symptoms


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  2. Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    54,644
    #30022
    Quote Originally Posted by shadow View Post
    And yun pumili doon sa mga vaccination site, isa lang meron doon and probably middle of next week labasan na symptoms


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    yes,
    i also believe some folks got infected in the vaccination center...
    any operation that herds folks together, is a potential spreader operation.

  3. Join Date
    Jan 2012
    Posts
    1,723
    #30023


    This is Malaysia’s lockdown and case history, it takes a while before case drop down after a lockdown. The current FMCO is a “total lockdown” but factories are allowed to operate.


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  4. Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Posts
    40,599
    #30024
    Quote Originally Posted by viper888 View Post


    This is Malaysia’s lockdown and case history, it takes a while before case drop down after a lockdown. The current FMCO is a “total lockdown” but factories are allowed to operate.


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    Yan nga mahirap sa covid, mabilis makahawa then matagal yun recovery, problema pa yun isolation.


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  5. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #30025
    Quote Originally Posted by dr. d View Post
    they didn't have flue vaccines back then in 1918, and yet the pandemic disappeared.

    let us keep our fingers crossed, and hope that history repeats itself.
    spanish flu was over in 2 years because:

    the humen didn't really do anything back in 1918, except to make body counts.
    patay kung patay, buhay kung buhay.
    survival was left largely to the individual's immune system.
    there were no diagnostic tests, no vaccines, no antibiotics, no ivermectins, no antivirus medications, no ICUs as we know them today, no coordinated pandemic activities.
    some theorize that the spanish flue of 1918 inexplicably disappeared, because it ran out of suitable victims.
    covid pandemic will not end in 2 years coz of human intervention

    though i'm not saying we shouldn't intervene but that's what will prolong this pandemic

  6. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #30026
    they didn't have flue vaccines back then in 1918, and yet the pandemic disappeared.
    yes 21st century humans created vaccines against covid

    but the vaccines are only doing half the job -- only keeping the host alive but not preventing infection and transmission

    that will ensure this pandemic will last longer than spanish flu

  7. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #30027
    Quote Originally Posted by shadow View Post
    Eh di lockdown ng lockdown until matapos. [emoji23]

    Mukhang extended pa itong 2 weeks.


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    hindi... magrerebolusyon mga tao pag ulit ulitin nila

  8. Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Posts
    40,599
    #30028
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    hindi... magrerebolusyon mga tao pag ulit ulitin nila
    Pilipinas? Hinde mangyari yan. Madaming engot na mahal na mahal si digonggong


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  9. Join Date
    Oct 2010
    Posts
    2,551
    #30029
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    the vaccines they made don't provide sterilizing immunity (the vaccinated don't become dead end hosts)

    so the virus will keep circulating

    this pandemic won't end in 2 years like spanish flu

    good morning
    Yan nga problema sa IATF regulation for returning filipinos, kung completely vacinated kana coming from green country wala ka ng swab test in your 7 days quarantine. Lalo nayung mga seamen na puro sinovac wala ng swab test.
    Kaya daming umuuwi na possible carrier ng new variants.

  10. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #30030
    Quote Originally Posted by glenn_duke View Post
    Yan nga problema sa IATF regulation for returning filipinos, kung completely vacinated kana coming from green country wala ka ng swab test in your 7 days quarantine. Lalo nayung mga seamen na puro sinovac wala ng swab test.
    Kaya daming umuuwi na possible carrier ng new variants.
    gov't is still operating under the assumption that vaccinateds can no longer transmit

    i think that's the prevailing narrative

    despite US and UK studies show same viral load in the nose of vaccinated and unvaccinated

    it will take time for that to filter thru gov't bureaucracy

  11. Join Date
    Feb 2019
    Posts
    4,291
    #30031
    It is good that vaccination site in Manila now requires you to get appointment online no more walk-ins just like DFA passport appointment system better this way but this will slow down vaccination drive compared to walk-ins.

  12. Join Date
    May 2019
    Posts
    4,049
    #30032
    Dapat nag uumpisa na sa long term plans.. Reactive na lang lagi ang nangyayari.. Madalas lagi pang late announcements..
    At sana maging constant sila sa terms hindi yung kada may major events may bago na naman term.. Nakakalito na yung ECQ, GCQ tapos may Modified ECQ, Modified GCQ pa.. Ang hirap mag-explain sa seniors, sana gumamit na lang ng numbering..

    Short term plans:
    - body immunity (e.g. subsidized vitamins, food, OTC meds)
    - covid tests (meron na ba yung pwede sa bahay na lang, importante lang naman malaman kung positive o hindi para sa next action item dahil wala pa gamot same pa din naman ang workaround.. agapan/pagalingin ang symptoms)
    - protection (same pa din sa face masks pero need na nila gumawa ng proper na batas na applicable sa lahat, ang hindi mag-suot merong katapat na community service wag daanin sa pera or kulong.. like mag-sanitize ng community or tumulong sa proper garbage disposal.. dahil hindi tayo mindful kung saan napupunta ang maduming face masks, face shield at kung magkaroon man ng self covid test kits saan ito itatapon)
    - dun sa mga may kaya, hindi ba pwede magkaroon ng lists na approve ng government nung mga kailangan to set up ng sariling first-aid (e.g. covid test, isolation room requirements, oxygen tank, covid doctor hotline para sa reseta basta required ang positive covid test, atbp.).. para lang i-address yung mga cases na hindi pa naman kailangan ng ICU.. Kaysa waiting lang sa labas ng hospital na no idea kung ano gagawin..

    Hindi na talaga sustainable ang mga community quarantine..

    Sa 2022 election, kaabang-abang ang promises ng mga candidates.. dapat may mailatag silang short term at long term plans..
    Naalala ko na naman ang "continuity"... Anong itutuloy!! JuiceMe! Ayoko na sa walang plano at laging late na action.. Mahirap na nga ang bansa, madalas missing in action pa..

  13. Join Date
    Dec 2019
    Posts
    2,074
    #30033
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    the vaccines they made don't provide sterilizing immunity (the vaccinated don't become dead end hosts)

    so the virus will keep circulating

    this pandemic won't end in 2 years like spanish flu

    good morning
    Lets hope the next mutations will be the weakest type.

  14. Join Date
    May 2017
    Posts
    2,137
    #30034

  15. Join Date
    Oct 2006
    Posts
    2,380
    #30035
    Yep, it can go either way. Wala pa naman 2 years to. So it might end, it might continue. Sabi nga ni doc. Let us remain hopeful. Malay ba nung mga tao nung time nung 1918 na maglalaho nalang bigla yung pandemic nila, same as us now. malay ba natin if maglalaho nalang din ito bigla, nobody knows but it can happen.

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    Last edited by 170kphlang; August 9th, 2021 at 11:34 AM.

  16. Join Date
    May 2017
    Posts
    2,137
    #30036
    Report: 14 Israelis have caught COVID-19 despite receiving booster shot | The Times of Israel


    Report: 14 Israelis have caught COVID-19 despite receiving booster shot


    8 August 2021, 5:55 pm

    Internal Health Ministry data shows that 14 Israelis have been infected with COVID-19 a week after receiving a booster shot, Channel 12 news reports.

    The network says 11 of those infected are over the age of 60 — two of whom have now been hospitalized — while the other three got their third dose because they are immunocompromised.

    If confirmed in larger samples, the figures could cast doubt on the effectiveness of the booster shot, which Israel has started administering before major health bodies around the world have approved it.

  17. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #30037
    depending on where you mark the time when the pandemic started...

    if you wanna base it on china finally acknowledging they have a SARS-like outbreak then that's December 2019

    kung formal kang tao you wanna base it on official declaration then that's March 2020



    based on Dec 2019 mark, in 4 months, 2 years na ang pandemic

    based on March 2020 mark, in 7 months, 2 years na ang pandemic

    do you guys really think this is going away in that period of time

    i doubt it
    Last edited by uls; August 9th, 2021 at 12:08 PM.

  18. Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Posts
    40,599
    #30038
    Ano bang issue ng "break trough" cases? As long as mild lang makuha ok na. Problema kasi mga unvaccinated sila ang kailangan ng hospitalization.

    Kung gusto na matapos itong pandemic gawin ng mandatory vaccination para bumalik na sa normal at kung magka covid man puro mild na lang.

    Breakthrough cases is not important. Kailangan hinde maging deadly itong covid kahit hinde mawala and ang sagot diyan is inoculation.

    Long term plan is maging parang flu na lang ito. How can we get there? As of now mandatory inoculation then babalik sa normal ikot ng mundo.
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    Last edited by shadow; August 9th, 2021 at 12:04 PM.

  19. Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    54,644
    #30039
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post

    do you guys really think this is going away in that period of time

    i doubt it
    i'm hoping it does.
    you know,
    "expect the best, prepare for the worst".

  20. Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    4,851
    #30040
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    the vaccines they made don't provide sterilizing immunity (the vaccinated don't become dead end hosts)

    so the virus will keep circulating

    this pandemic won't end in 2 years like spanish flu

    good morning
    Too bad… im optimistic pa naman na xmas this year would be like the normal… sa sobrang high tech ngayon, napahaba pa ang pandemic…


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China Corona Virus Outbreak