i posted that to show how outrageous theories are coz it seems people here love conspiracy theories
and that's a UK website
and i always said China's official coronavirus numbers cannot be trusted
i always said in this thread China is underreporting
i was always cynical of headlines like "Italy surpass China coronavirus cases" and "US surpass China coronavirus cases"
even before this virus thing i don't believe in China's official numbers (like GDP)
whenever they forecast a gdp number they always hit that number
that doesn't happen in other countries only China
my rule on China gov't is don't believe what they say look at what they do
Japan to offer anti-flu Avigan drug to 2 virus-hit nations for free | The Japan Times
Free daw! Mag-apply na dapat si Duterte!
meron nag advice sakin dati whenever i read a news story where a corrupt China gov't official got arrested and the amount stolen is like 10,000,000 don't believe that number
dagdagan ko daw ng isang zero para mas accurate
ganyan ang tingin ko sa coronavirus numbers galing China
i don't think i've come across anybody else here in tsikot forum that said the same thing
and i'm the pro-China guy here?
hehe
Considering many of the first cases involving infected locals who travelled abroad didn't come from China... But from countries like Spain, Japan and Thailand.
Coronavirus Live Updates: Studies Show N.Y. Outbreak Originated in Europe - The New York Times
New research indicates that the coronavirus began to circulate in the New York area by mid-February, weeks before the first confirmed case, and that it was brought to the region mainly by travelers from Europe, not Asia.
“The majority is clearly European,” said Harm van Bakel, a geneticist at Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai, who co-wrote a study awaiting peer review.
A separate team at N.Y.U. Grossman School of Medicine came to strikingly similar conclusions, despite studying a different group of cases. Both teams analyzed genomes from coronaviruses taken from New Yorkers starting in mid-March.
In January, a team of Chinese and Australian researchers published the first genome of the new virus. Since then, researchers around the world have sequenced over 3,000 more. Some are genetically identical to each other, while others carry distinctive mutations.
Last edited by Monseratto; April 9th, 2020 at 12:43 PM.
^^^
ganito
the first reported cases of severe pneumonia in Wuhan was in december 2019
consider the incubation period to symptomic phase to severe phase -- it takes about a month from catching the virus to getting sick to getting very sick
so the virus was already spreading in wuhan in November maybe even as early as October (i actually did post about that earlier in this thread... sabi ko 4Q 2019)
but it was only on Dec 31, 2019 that China informed WHO na meron outbreak of pneumonia sa Wuhan
So mula December to January (lunar new year) there was a lot of holiday travel going on
infected people from china went to Europe (they love LV and Prada etc)
the travel bans came very very late
lumabas na ng China ang virus
Last edited by uls; April 9th, 2020 at 12:10 PM.
re the period of time when a person catches the virus to getting very sick -- about a month
so isipin niyo ung 1st reported case of local transmission (greenhills prayer room)
atras ka pa ng 3 weeks to 1 month the virus was already spreading in the area
that will explain why san juan has the most number of cases in ratio to its population
Nabuhay na naman yung Buy America at America First movement. Even Japan , now is offering incentives to Jap companies who will move their operation back to Japan.
Really, sir? How can you claim that? Kinda pretentious of you IMO, because I get the vibe that majority of the members here don't believe China's coronavirus numbers too. Lots of "us", either implied or directly said that those CCP virus numbers are not true, from the beginning.
Well informed by Western propaganda.
I am not pro-China. But at this moment in the pandemic, I don’t like to waste energy by always blaming China for everything that has happened. What I am trying to say is don’t put our eyes away from the US or other Western countries. Don’t you think the US is also capable of such thing you’re accusing China of?
Culture kasi natin is very American. We always agree with the Americans. We consider everything that they do is for the good of the entire world.
Regarding Japan, mabuti nalang may nag pullout from the Olympics, maybe that prompted the Olympic committee to decide to postpone the Games. What if hindi na-postpone and maraming nainfect during the Games, would anyone here have blamed the Japanese? I don’t think so.
Signature
from Germany
pretty much my view
this is why i don't care about that coronavirus worldometer
COVID-19 - Georg-August-Universitat Gottingen
COVID-19: on average only 6% of actual SARS-CoV-2 infections detected worldwide
Actual number of infections may already have reached several tens of millions
The number of confirmed cases for the novel coronavirus disease COVID-19 officially issued by countries and widely commented on by national and international media outlets dramatically understates the true number of infections, a recent report from the University of Göttingen suggests. Dr Christian Bommer and Professor Sebastian Vollmer from Göttingen University have used estimates of COVID-19 mortality and time until death from a recent study published in The Lancet Infectious Diseases to test the quality of official case records. Their data shows that countries have only discovered on average about 6% of coronavirus infections and the true number of infected people worldwide may already have reached several tens of millions.
that may have been the way of thinking pre-trump. now its messed up.
Exclusive: U.S. axed CDC expert job in China months before virus outbreak - ReutersSeveral months before the coronavirus pandemic began, the Trump administration eliminated a key American public health position in Beijing intended to help detect disease outbreaks in China, Reuters has learned.
The American disease expert, a medical epidemiologist embedded in China’s disease control agency, left her post in July, according to four sources with knowledge of the issue. The first cases of the new coronavirus may have emerged as early as November, and as cases exploded, the Trump administration in February chastised China for censoring information about the outbreak and keeping U.S. experts from entering the country to help.
“It was heartbreaking to watch,” said Bao-Ping Zhu, a Chinese American who served in that role, which was funded by the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, between 2007 and 2011. “If someone had been there, public health officials and governments across the world could have moved much faster.”
Zhu and the other sources said the American expert, Dr. Linda Quick, was a trainer of Chinese field epidemiologists who were deployed to the epicenter of outbreaks to help track, investigate and contain diseases.
As an American CDC employee, they said, Quick was in an ideal position to be the eyes and ears on the ground for the United States and other countries on the coronavirus outbreak, and might have alerted them to the growing threat weeks earlier.
No other foreign disease experts were embedded to lead the program after Quick left in July, according to the sources. Zhu said an embedded expert can often get word of outbreaks early, after forming close relationships with Chinese counterparts.
Zhu and the other sources said Quick could have provided real-time information to U.S. and other officials around the world during the first weeks of the outbreak, when they said the Chinese government tamped down on the release of information and provided erroneous assessments.