So basically his point is that flattening the curve doesn't work "enough". What work is draconian containment like China's.
As what has been mentioned on the comment section, Medium is not a peered reviewed journal and a lot of great but maybe unqualified people can come up with their own analysis and publish it there. As for me, I'd rather take it from the experts. The idea behind #flattenthecurve was created by the CDC and supported by epidemiologists.
Here is another article that supports this idea.
https://www.washingtonpost.com/graph...ona-simulator/
Experts expect that it is impossible to completely seal off sick population from the healthy. In the simulation, social distancing outperformed attempted quarantine in slowing down the spread.
This virus is not going anywhere unless there's a vaccine, which is not anytime soon. As long as we still go out of our houses to get our supplies, we will likely get infected. Flattening the curve isn't so much about preventing the illness, it is slowing down the rate at which people get sick.
Also, he recognized that there are countries that will not be able to execute severe containment measures due to lack of resources. He is specifically addressing this US, UK and Germany.
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