Philippine Economy Talk

[Wh1stl3r]

I wonder how much our total gross nonperforming loans is now.

[heavenlee]

More bad news.


"FASTER increases in the prices of food and non-alcoholic beverages pushed the country’s headline inflation rate higher to 5.2 percent in June, breaching the high end of central bank’s forecast.

The Philippine Statistics Authority (PSA) on Thursday, July 5, said the June inflation rate is higher than the 4.6 percent recorded in May 2018 and more than double the June 2017 rate of 2.5 percent."

"The Department of Finance (DOF) has assured, however, that the 15-percent average increase in the disposable income of salaried workers due to the Tax Reform for Acceleration and Inclusion (Train) law has “more than fully offset” the 4.1-percent average increase in prices as of May. "


Inflation accelerates further to 5.2% in June - SUNSTAR

[kisshmet]

^aguy! Naman

Stop rubbing insult to injury

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[Ry_Tower]

^aguy! Naman

Stop rubbing insult to injury

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Itong DOF para talagang hindi nag-iisip. Eh yung kawawa nga mga minimum wage earners, anong effect sa kanila ng TRAIN law eh dati na silang exempted.

[kisshmet]

^The president is the best in the milkyway right

Staffed with the BEST & BRIGHTEST

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[minicarph]

Simply put bro, BSP allows banks to lower their fund reserves so they can offer more money for loans. Mas maraming mababaon sa utang while inflation goes up. Pinakamadali kasi mangutang kung kailangan mo ng pera.

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ako gusto gusto yan dami loans. more loans mean more opportunity.

[dreamur]

ako gusto gusto yan dami loans. more loans mean more opportunity.

I know OB. Utang is life. [emoji23][emoji23][emoji23]

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[2lits17]

^The president is the best in the milkyway right

Staffed with the BEST & BRIGHTEST

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basta hinde dilawan ok lang yan.... haba din ng pisi ng mga 16M na mga yan, pinipiga na nga lodi pa din nila.
sasabihin pa ng mga finance chiefs sa govt that train has nothing to do with it. pilit pinapatakbo ang diskarel na tren.

[ray_noel]

basta hinde dilawan ok lang yan.... haba din ng pisi ng mga 16M na mga yan, pinipiga na nga lodi pa din nila.
sasabihin pa ng mga finance chiefs sa govt that train has nothing to do with it. pilit pinapatakbo ang diskarel na tren.

Yes! Ofcourse!


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[Wh1stl3r]

ako gusto gusto yan dami loans. more loans mean more opportunity.

More opportunity to default. Dami kaya narerepo ngayon. Malakas loob ng tao umutang kasi mababa interest. Ang problema pinapautang ng banks yung di naman dapat qualified.

[chronicle]

How do banks get their investment back when you default? Sa bahay medyo clear pa since nag aapreciate ang value. Sa kotse, lugi na sa depreciation at naka park lang sa initan. Di naman ganon kalaki ang difference ng bidding sa banks at current market value.

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[uls]

usually people think of inflation as prices going up

don't forget loan creation/credit creation is inflationary

more new money goes into circulation goes to chase limited supply of goods = inflation

so a central bank that wants to tame inflation should discourage borrowing by raising interest rates

which our central bank is doing in tiny steps (only two 25 bps rates hikes recently)

and that's why i keep raising the issue about BSP cutting RRR which is the opposite of trying to discourage bank lending

[A121]

usually people think of inflation as prices going up

don't forget loan creation/credit creation is inflationary

more new money goes into circulation goes to chase limited supply of goods = inflation

so a central bank that wants to tame inflation should discourage borrowing by raising interest rates

which our central bank is doing in tiny steps (only two 25 bps rates hikes recently)

and that's why i keep raising the issue about BSP cutting RRR which is the opposite of trying to discourage bank lending

*uls, dyan papasok yung pauso ni Basel na liquidity ratios. Gusto ni bsp compliant tayo dyan.

[minicarph]

usually people think of inflation as prices going up

don't forget loan creation/credit creation is inflationary

more new money goes into circulation goes to chase limited supply of goods = inflation

so a central bank that wants to tame inflation should discourage borrowing by raising interest rates

which our central bank is doing in tiny steps (only two 25 bps rates hikes recently)

and that's why i keep raising the issue about BSP cutting RRR which is the opposite of trying to discourage bank lending

Bec its not about the money, some 10 years ago, most Pinoys have less access to money, pero nun nagkarin ng pagkakataon, some or mostof these people contributed or became productive for the economy.

Its not money that makes the world move, its still the people, honest to goodness manual labor.

look at what happened in 2008, if the world froze coz of the possibility of default, mas apocalyptic.

Right now, we are just talking about percentages, interest hikes and inflation increase.
What is that really? Kahit ano pa sabihin ng mga analytics, talo yan ng isang grupo ng tao na nagtatrabaho manually coz labor can multiply a loaned money tenfold or twentyfold. Sa finance world , malabo na kumita ng even 10% sa invested money ngaun.

One component of The build build program is hard manial labor of most Pinoys na kung wala yan tambay lang.

I think you all missed this part kaya may fear of doomand gloom kayo sa economy.

[Monseratto]

A public announcement from the Philsbury Boy/ Ambulance Chaser...

[Wh1stl3r]

How do banks get their investment back when you default? Sa bahay medyo clear pa since nag aapreciate ang value. Sa kotse, lugi na sa depreciation at naka park lang sa initan. Di naman ganon kalaki ang difference ng bidding sa banks at current market value.

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Malaki lugi nila sa cars. But at some point they still have to get rid of them, even if they have to sell at a loss. Bumababa kasi value over time. Pero yung isang bank manager dito sabi sa kin kahit property loan, kung non performing di pa rin maganda for them.

[uls]

Its not money that makes the world move, its still the people, honest to goodness manual labor.

if nobody deployed capital to build something or put up a business manual labor will be sitting around playing tong-its



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there's too much money in circulation

one contributor you cannot ignore is the large salary increase in PNP and AFP (which started in January this year)

suddenly hundreds of thousands of households have more money to spend

[uls]

*uls, dyan papasok yung pauso ni Basel na liquidity ratios. Gusto ni bsp compliant tayo dyan.

but we're overcompliant...

so BSP has to lower RRR

bad timing

[dreamur]

ImHO increasing interest rates will translate to borrowers defaulting on their existing loans or lowering of appetite for investing in real estate or buying new cars. The banks will end up owning a huge chunk of properties which will bring market prices down. Then the bubble will burst.


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[heavenlee]

Regarding default on loans, we're still a long way off from our neighbor, India. Single digit vs double digit.

"However, the foundation of any economy is its banking sector, and India is in crisis. The most recent figures show that India has the second highest—behind Italy—bank nonperforming loan rate in the world at 11.6 percent. Philippine banks have a 1.8 percent NPL as of March 2018."


Reference - Banking in the Philippines | BusinessMirror