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  1. Join Date
    Sep 2014
    Posts
    8,481
    #1111
    ah yes I remember that, eh parang nalusotan lang naman ata yan Uls. baka tulog mga merkano nun.

    pansin ko na yan eh, pag ang Amerika naging sluggish ang economy, they'd raise the value of the dollar. pag okey ang economy, they'd still raise the value of the dollar.

    ah lam ko na yan 2013 na yan sa chart na yan is when the European Union attempted to make the Euro a powerful currency. eh kaya lang nagyera diba nun time na yan sa Russia and Crimea, yun may na-shut down na Malaysia Airlines. so

  2. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    21,866
    #1112
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    ayan oh

    Effect of QE quantitive easing.,,

  3. Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    25,927
    #1113
    Quote Originally Posted by Monseratto View Post
    Effect of QE quantitive easing.,,
    quantitative...

    Sent from my SM-N960F using Tapatalk

  4. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,816
    #1114
    Quote Originally Posted by minicarph View Post
    ah yes I remember that, eh parang nalusotan lang naman ata yan Uls. baka tulog mga merkano nun.

    Fed zero interest rates and dollar printing (QE)

    dollars spread all over the world

    to emerging markets like PH

    too much dollars flowed into PH causing USDPHP = 40

    now the reverse is happening

    Fed raising rates, dollar printing ends

    dollars flowing back to US

    get it?

  5. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,816
    #1115
    as long as the world uses the dollar, the world will be at the mercy of US monetary policy

    famous words by John Connally, Treasury Secretary of US president Richard Nixon

    “The dollar is our currency, but your problem.”

  6. Join Date
    Jan 2003
    Posts
    2,407
    #1116
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    as long as the world uses the dollar, the world will be at the mercy of US monetary policy

    famous words by John Connally, Treasury Secretary of US president Richard Nixon
    Sabi ni Nomura low risk pa daw yung currency natin to have a crisis.

    link

    Interested on their methodology, though.

  7. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,816
    #1117
    Quote Originally Posted by A121 View Post
    Sabi ni Nomura low risk pa daw yung currency natin to have a crisis.

    link

    Interested on their methodology, though.
    Nomura put us in the same catergory as Thailand?

    We are so not Thailand

    Thailand has current account surplus:


    Philippines has current account deficit:



    ok, maybe coz our dollar reserves can cover 7 to 8 months of imports (globally as long as you can cover 6 months you're ok)


    but Thailand's reserves are at a much healthier level

  8. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    21,866
    #1118

  9. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,816
    #1119
    ^^


    expect BSP rate hike this month

  10. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,816
    #1120
    thing about the trade deficit is it will eventually self correct

    HOW?

    the dollar will get so expensive that it will kill demand

    imports will fall and narrow the trade deficit

    question is where is the pain level

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Philippine Economy Talk