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  1. Join Date
    Jan 2003
    Posts
    2,407
    #1211
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    which is why the government's 7 to 8 percent growth target is no longer attainable

    BECAUSE:

    The only bright point is that we've never achieved that kind of growth in the past. LOL.

  2. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,815
    #1212
    Moody's says Philippine economy may expand at a slower pace because of inflation but growth rate is unlikely to fall below 6% next year
    World Bank cut 2018 growth forecast for the Philippines to 6.5%, 6.7% in 2019 and 6.6% in 2020

    High inflation a risk to growth as it could dampen consumption and investment


    me: lower


    -------------------

  3. Join Date
    Sep 2007
    Posts
    260
    #1213
    ^ Agree, lower indeed. At this point I worry if the Philippines' investment grade rating would be retracted... I've been realigning my portfolio strategy. Mahirap nang ma double whammy ng forex and capital loss.

  4. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    21,866
    #1214

  5. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,815
    #1215
    Quote Originally Posted by Monseratto View Post
    yes even if Dubai crude was 80 dollars back in 2014 USDPHP was 45 and below

    USDPHP

  6. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,815
    #1216
    there was massive dollar liquidity in 2014

    the Fed's QE program started in 2008

    by 2014 the Fed has printed 4.5 TRILLION dollars

    Last edited by uls; October 4th, 2018 at 04:11 PM.

  7. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,815
    #1217
    part of that dollar liquidity flowed to EM like PH

    the massive inflow of dollars drove up PHP value (remember USDPHP = 40?)

    this time is soooooo different from 2014

    the Fed is doing reverse QE

    dollar liquidity is being sucked out of EM

  8. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    21,866
    #1218
    Stock Market is setting for a sell-off tomorrow when PSA releases September inflation figures... If it's way off the BSP figures, expect to see bloody red all over.

    PSE index

    7,093.34
    Down-117.53
    Down-1.63%▼
    Last edited by Monseratto; October 4th, 2018 at 04:22 PM.

  9. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    34,815
    #1219
    part of that dollar liquidity flowed to EM like PH

    the massive inflow of dollars drove up PHP value (remember USDPHP = 40?)

    this time is soooooo different from 2014

    the Fed is doing reverse QE

    dollar liquidity is being sucked out of EM
    continuation:

    tapos etong admin meron dollar-hungry build build build

    wtf man

    not now

    not when there's dollar scarcity

  10. Join Date
    Aug 2018
    Posts
    195
    #1220
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    continuation:

    tapos etong admin meron dollar-hungry build build build

    wtf man

    not now

    not when there's dollar scarcity

    they need this projects for the SOP

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Philippine Economy Talk