China Corona Virus Outbreak

[minicarph]

ngaun ko lang na realize kaya pala familiar sa kin yan Wuhan

Is because it is the emperor WU of the HAN dynasty, so wu-han, wuhan.

And in the movie dragonblade that stars jackie Chan and John Cusack wherein

John Cusack is a Roman General escaping Rome na tumakbo sa Silk road na binabantayan noon ng Han Dynasty, sa outskirts ang front men eh band ni Jackie Chan



so now I know why Wuhan is best destination for exotic animals, kasi sila talaga ang kaunaunahan empire nag meet sa Rome and therefore via Silk road nag trade ng anything eberying including exotic animals

Chinese History : Han China and the Roman Empire - LTL Mandarin School

[SoleusBB]

natawa ako dito bro. hahaha. hinde lang cheating... cutting classes pa noh lalo pag terror yun chinese teacher.

I'm laughing din right now.

Looking back, we really hated most of the Chinese faculty sa school and gave them terrible nick names- "Bangaw", "Tuko", "Skeletor", etc...

Putik, if China would have invaded the Phils back then, I'm pretty sure alam na namin kung kanino sila kakampi.

noon kasi hinde pa OA level ang bullying hinde pa din kasi uso socmed. kaya matitigas tayo lumaki

I don't know. Bordering on child abuse na rin yung strict discipline imposed noon. I don't know if you guys experienced this pero, if you fail a quiz for example, yung number ng palo mo is yung difference ng score mo until umabot ng 75. So pag 70 score mo, 5 palo mo, if 40 score mo... 35!!! (to our non-Chinoy members... I'm serious, this REALLY happened in schools back in the day). Daig pa hazing sa fraternity. *^#%*!!!

Buti nga sa amin, medyo moderate pa nga ang Chinese curriculum, but for those who had the misfortune of being sent to schools like St. Jude, St. Stephen... ohmighad.

===
OT na. But this really made me laugh

[c_cube]

^^^
And to add, ibang iba ang mga graduate sa chinese schools, parang sanay sa cramming o pressure ng school work at sanay sa "si-tak".



BTT
Naprapraning ako

May sipon ako at sakit ng katawan ko [emoji23]

Sana nabugbog lang ako sa HIIT workout kagabi tas dahil lang sa shower at naulanan nun pauwi na

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[uls]

I don't know. Bordering on child abuse na rin yung strict discipline imposed noon. I don't know if you guys experienced this pero, if you fail a quiz for example, yung number ng palo mo is yung difference ng score mo until umabot ng 75. So pag 70 score mo, 5 palo mo, if 40 score mo... 35!!! (to our non-Chinoy members... I'm serious, this REALLY happened in schools back in the day). Daig pa hazing sa fraternity. *^#%*!!!

Buti nga sa amin, medyo moderate pa nga ang Chinese curriculum, but for those who had the misfortune of being sent to schools like St. Jude, St. Stephen... ohmighad.

===
OT na. But this really made me laugh

with steel ruler doc

[Monseratto]

Incubation period... family of the first Singapore confirmed case...lumabas yung sakit ng nag tour sa Malaysia. Remember the family of the first HK confirmed case are in Boracay at hinde naka quarantine.

Wuhan virus: Malaysia confirms first 3 cases; all patients related to Chinese national who was Singapore's first case - CNA

KUALA LUMPUR: Malaysia on Saturday (Jan 25) said it had confirmed three cases of coronavirus infection, the first in the Southeast Asian country.

Health Minister Dzulkefly Ahmad said the three individuals infected were related to the 66-year-old man that was confirmed by Singaporean health authorities to have tested positive for the virus.

On Friday, Malaysia’s Deputy Health Minister Lee Boon Chye said eight Chinese nationals who were in close contact with the first person to test positive for the Wuhan coronavirus in Singapore had entered Malaysia and were being quarantined in a hotel in Johor Bahru.

The three infected patients are now being monitored at the Sungai Buloh hospital in Kuala Lumpur.

“The three here are the wife, 65, and two grandchildren (ages 2 and 11) of the man tested positive in Singapore,” said Dr Dzulkefly.

[Monseratto]

I'm laughing din right now.

Looking back, we really hated most of the Chinese faculty sa school and gave them terrible nick names- "Bangaw", "Tuko", "Skeletor", etc...

Putik, if China would have invaded the Phils back then, I'm pretty sure alam na namin kung kanino sila kakampi.




I don't know. Bordering on child abuse na rin yung strict discipline imposed noon. I don't know if you guys experienced this pero, if you fail a quiz for example, yung number ng palo mo is yung difference ng score mo until umabot ng 75. So pag 70 score mo, 5 palo mo, if 40 score mo... 35!!! (to our non-Chinoy members... I'm serious, this REALLY happened in schools back in the day). Daig pa hazing sa fraternity. *^#%*!!!

Buti nga sa amin, medyo moderate pa nga ang Chinese curriculum, but for those who had the misfortune of being sent to schools like St. Jude, St. Stephen... ohmighad.

===
OT na. But this really made me laugh

Buti sa Xavier di ganon... but my mandarin sucks.

[shadow]

Buti sa Xavier di ganon... but my mandarin sucks.

Xavier ka? Ano batch ka?


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[StockEngine]

And its effin... serious.

[_Cathy_]

All this news makes me feel like the end of the world in near

Makes me paranoid too because I have shortness of breath for several weeks now and sometimes I would cough, wala naman ako ubo. I don't know if this is heart failure or corona virus

[uls]

we're gonna get more reports of confirmed cases from around in the coming days and weeks

it has already spread around the world

exponential ang spread nyan

like 1 infects 4, 4 infects 16, 16 infects 64, 64 infects 256, and so on

[shadow]

we're gonna get more reports of confirmed cases from around in the coming days and weeks

it has already spread around the world

exponential ang spread nyan

like 1 infects 4, 4 infects 16, 16 infects 64, 64 infects 256, and so on

Kaya mas takot ako dito kesa taal eh. Freaking beijing Central govt. Covering up this disease.

Kailan ba yun SARS? I think hinde tayo dito masyado affected, sabi nga dahil sa madumi na daw talaga PH kaya sanay na tao, pero tingin ko kasi there was not as many chinese here unlike ngayon. They're everywhere!

Dapat maglabas ng executive order na pag mainlander dito cumpolsary naka mask sila pag nasa labas!


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[Trippin]

From reddit:

edited 14 hours ago
Yes you can model estimated numbers based on confirmed international cases and threads with relevant information keep getting removed.

This paper just posted predicts more than 250,000 infections in Wuhan by February 4th (prediction interval, 164,602 to 351,396). Also, the travel ban wont stop the spread, even if it's 99% effective, it will reduce the size of the epidemic outside Wuhan by 24.9%. They needs to reduce infections by 72-75% to stop it (they stopped SARS by reducing infections by 25%).

If China is covering up infections and deaths, this prediction is optimistic...
Read et al. nCoV-219 early epidemic predictions.pdf - Google Drive

Key findings:
We estimate the basic reproductive number of the infection (𝑅𝑅0) to be significantly greater than one. We estimate it to be between 3.6 and 4.0, indicating that 72-75% of transmissions must be prevented by control measures for infections to stop increasing.

We estimate that only 5.1% (95%CI, 4.8–5.5) of infections in Wuhan are identified, indicating a large number of infections in the community, and also reflecting the difficulty in detecting cases of this new disease. Surveillance for this novel pathogen has been launched very quickly by public health authorities in China, allowing for rapid assessment of the speed of increase of cases in Wuhan and other areas.

If no change in control or transmission happens, then we expect further outbreaks to occur in other Chinese cities, and that infections will continue to be exported to international destinations at an increasing rate. In 14 days’ time (4 February 2020), our model predicts the number of infected people in Wuhan to be greater than 250 thousand (prediction interval, 164,602 to 351,396).

We predict the cities with the largest outbreaks elsewhere in China to be Shanghai, Beijing, Guangzhou, Chongqing and Chengdu. We also predict that by 4 Feb 2020, the countries or special administrative regions at greatest risk of importing infections through air travel are Thailand, Japan, Taiwan, Hong Kong, and South Korea.

Our model suggests that travel restrictions from and to Wuhan city are unlikely to be effective in halting transmission across China; with a 99% effective reduction in travel, the size of the epidemic outside of Wuhan may only be reduced by 24.9% on 4 February.

There are important caveats to the reliability of our model predictions, based on the assumptions underpinning the model as well as the data used to fit the model. These should be considered when interpreting our findings.

[shadow]

Yan sinasabi ko eh travel ban na dapat sa China!


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[Ry_Tower]

Kaya mas takot ako dito kesa taal eh. Freaking beijing Central govt. Covering up this disease.

Kailan ba yun SARS? I think hinde tayo dito masyado affected, sabi nga dahil sa madumi na daw talaga PH kaya sanay na tao, pero tingin ko kasi there was not as many chinese here unlike ngayon. They're everywhere!

Dapat maglabas ng executive order na pag mainlander dito cumpolsary naka mask sila pag nasa labas!


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IIRC SARS was 2003.

You have a point na mas marami na nga chinamen ngayon compared back then.

Kaya mas madali siguro naging screening ng DOH to contain the virus.





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[shadow]

IIRC SARS was 2003.

You have a point na mas marami na nga chinamen ngayon compared back then.

Kaya mas madali siguro naging screening ng DOH to contain the virus.





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Ganun na dapat gawin, all flights coming from China. Sa sangley ang baba then quarantine sila for 2 weeks sa island cove or pwede din sa Corregidor.

Saan na si Mark Villar, dapsr build! Build! Build! na ng dorm type buildings sa Corregidor.

Ah pwede din pala gamitin as quarantine for the mainlanders yun supposedly malaking facility na para dapat sa drug rehabililation center ni dutiti.
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[Trippin]

Independent(dot)Co uk has an updating news page about this

Coronavirus news live: Latest updates as US to evacuate citizens from Wuhan over outbreak | The Independent
2 hours ago
Breaking: US 'to evacuate citizens and diplomats from Wuhan'

The United States is arranging a charter flight on Sunday to bring its citizens and diplomats back from the city at the epicentre of the outbreak, a person familiar with the operation has told the Wall Street Journal.

The plane, with around 230 people, will carry diplomats from the US consulate – which Washington plans to temporarily close – as well as American citizens and their families, the paper reported.

Washington was given approval for the operation from China's foreign ministry and other government agencies following negotiations in recent days.

[minicarph]

Heads up folks. the new Coronavirus can be transmitted thru the eyes.

So other than masks, you needto wear eye protection too


Expert says coronavirus is spread through eyes as killer disease 'shuts down China' - Mirror Online

Interview from a foreign news correspondent inside Wuhan



Fast forward to 5:39

Chinese health workers are still getting infected even if they wore masks,
They got eye infection first

This is a very serious virus na, tsk tsk

It’s like SARs and Ebola combined in terms of transmission

[vinrem]

A different kind of virus.

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[minicarph]

and so while googling Pandemics and dates, coz If I remember correctly

The last major Pandemic was the 1918-1920 Spanish Flu which killed 20M people, and this new virus is 2019 pala, not 2020 since it started Dec. im tryingto establish a pattern if every 100 years, a superbug gets released to the world

I came upon this article, a warning from WHO last Feb 2019

Bat flu could cause a global pandemic and kill a lot of people, scientists warn | Metro News

WHO theorized that the next Flu Pandemic can come from bats.

Ebola came from Bats.

Now, if indeed they say that this new coronavirus came from an exotic food market that
serves bats.

Then , eto na a virus that can infect thru nose (influenza) and thru the eyes (ebola) , then could it be that this virus is from bats.


If it’s from bats, re bat migratory movements , do they move like birds?

Then the solution or the cure maybe nasa kitchen nyo lang. It’s garlic!

I read the story before how one island in the Marianas ba yun or a South Pacific Islander nation who had less or minimal casualties, American Navy men were surprised how this isolated island fought the Spanish Flu virus, they hung garlic in their houses, beds etc.

[vinrem]

and so while googling Pandemics and dates, coz If I remember correctly

The last major Pandemic was the 1918-1920 Spanish Flu which killed 20M people, and this new virus is 2019 pala, not 2020 since it started Dec. im tryingto establish a pattern if every 100 years, a superbug gets released to the world

I came upon this article, a warning from WHO last Feb 2019

Bat flu could cause a global pandemic and kill a lot of people, scientists warn | Metro News

WHO theorized that the next Flu Pandemic can come from bats.

Ebola came from Bats.

Now, if indeed they say that this new coronavirus came from an exotic food market that
serves bats.

Then , eto na a virus that can infect thru nose (influenza) and thru the eyes (ebola) , then could it be that this virus is from bats.


If it’s from bats, re bat migratory movements , do they move like birds?

Then the solution or the cure maybe nasa kitchen nyo lang. It’s garlic!

I read the story before how one island in the Marianas ba yun or a South Pacific Islander nation who had less or minimal casualties, American Navy men were surprised how this isolated island fought the Spanish Flu virus, they hung garlic in their houses, beds etc.

Oh my, this is really a national security problem, Dracula is alive and is coming back for all of us.

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