been posting about global food crisis for months
looks like nag arrive na sa pinas
For Philippine banks, what is the status of shifting from IBOR to alternate reference rates?
Meron na ba nag-shift? Ilan at sinu-sino sila?
Rice is Life...
All That’s Stopping a Full-Blown Food Crisis? Rice
When Vietnam, typically the world’s second-largest rice exporter, imposed its export ban in 2008, others including India, China and Cambodia quickly followed, effectively shutting down the entire market. Panic followed: In four months, the Philippines bought as much rice as it usually imports in a full calendar year. Saudi rice imports shot up 90% as the kingdom built up its reserves. The result was the most dramatic price increase the rice market had ever seen, with prices soaring to about $1,100 per ton from about $480 in just eight weeks.
^
and rice ang hindi kasama sa mga allergens like soy, wheat, gmo corn.
from US dollar thread
opening up after lockdowns --> increased demand --> more imports --> higher demand for dollars
and coz imports are now more expensive (specially crude oil and refined products)
need more dollars to pay for imports = high demand for $$$
kaya nabanggit ko sa ibang thread PH needs to make sure we have a lots of dollars coming in
to avoid the sri lanka scenario
USDPHP will be 53 very soon
normally PH has enough $$$ reserves to cover 8 to 10 months of imports
soon it will be enough to cover 6
i'm usually early with my predictions
the authorities should prioritize $$$ reserves above anything else
kung pwede huwag muna mag import ng di importante para makatipid sa dollars
like wag muna magpa-concert ng mga foreign artist
dami pa naman magco-concert this year
*uls, bili na ba ng USD? Hindi ba mag-increase ulit BSP ng rate para bumababa ng konte USD?
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mag rate hike uli BSP so dapat lalakas ang piso pero tingin ko ma-overwhelm ng demand for dollars ang epekto ng rate hike
di gaano aggressive ang rate hike ng BSP
25 bps lang per hike
hihina ang dollar kung meron malaking inflow ng $$$
kung load ka ng load pang tiktok eh wala karapatan magreklamo sa presyo ng bigas.
One kilo of long-grain is just 44pesos. Quality pa yan maalsa sa puregold mabibili. Source from rice granary of pinas = nueva ecija.
priorities ng buhay. Mas mura pa din bilihin ngayon sa panahon ng china products vs 1980s to 90s imported. Magkano oral-b toothbrush nung 1980s?
Sobrang dami affordable ngayon. China made the world flat. Natapos overpricing ng western world....ay si pasosy iphone na lang overprice.
as crude oil and refined products become more expensive, importers need to buy more dollars to pay suppliers abroad
= higher demand for dollars
if we don't see a corresponding increase in dollar inflow, lalo lalakas ang $$$
mukhang malabo na yung Php20/kilo na bigas
seriously, magpapa tanim sana kami ng palay ngayon pero yung fertilizer last year na ang price eh 1.3k lang eh nasa 3+k na ngayon. alam ko eh apektado ang supply ng fertilizer dahil sa Ukraine-Russia war. yung ibang farmers din ayaw din muna mag tanim.