kahit untested ang China
again, Thucydides Trap
the US sees China as a threat to its number 1 position in the world
throughout history, more often than not, dominant powers and rising powers go to war
https://books.google.com.ph/books?id..._s&redir_esc=y
CHINA AND THE UNITED STATES ARE HEADING TOWARD A WAR NEITHER WANTS. The reason is Thucydides’s Trap, a deadly pattern of structural stress that results when a rising power challenges a ruling one. This phenomenon is as old as history itself. About the Peloponnesian War that devastated ancient Greece, the historian Thucydides explained: “It was the rise of Athens and the fear that this instilled in Sparta that made war inevitable.” Over the past 500 years, these conditions have occurred sixteen times. War broke out in twelve of them. Today, as an unstoppable China approaches an immovable America and both Xi Jinping and Donald Trump promise to make their countries “great again,” the seventeenth case looks grim. Unless China is willing to scale back its ambitions or Washington can accept becoming number two in the Pacific, a trade conflict, cyberattack, or accident at sea could soon escalate into all-out war.
In Destined for War, the eminent Harvard scholar Graham Allison explains why Thucydides’s Trap is the best lens for understanding U.S.-China relations in the twenty-first century. Through uncanny historical parallels and war scenarios, he shows how close we are to the unthinkable. Yet, stressing that war is not inevitable, Allison also reveals how clashing powers have kept the peace in the past — and what painful steps the United States and China must take to avoid disaster today.
Last edited by uls; May 4th, 2018 at 11:18 AM.
theres not going to be a war between nuclear powers but saber rattling ang strategic posturing
phil vs china is more likely than a US vs china conflict
phil vs china will be a conventional warfare as compared to US vs china. US is banking on the idea that the phil will be l chinas vietnam as afghanistan were USSRs vietnam
but the phil leader has to be brave and not a quisling just as china hopes so
so far china has the upperhand with the current leaders we have now
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Last edited by kisshmet; May 4th, 2018 at 03:53 PM.
Palace airs concern over Chinese missiles in S. China Sea | ABS-CBN News
“We are concerned with the reported China’s missile deployments over the contested areas in the West Philippine Sea,” Presidential Spokesperson Harry Roque said in a statement.
Roque, however, said “[with] our recently developed close relationship and friendship with China, we are confident that those missiles are not directed at us."
Anak naman talaga ng tokwa oo.
Confident much?
Eh pano kung di na tayo friendship with Tsina?
Puro na lang bark, no bite ang gobyernong ito.
we are confident that those missiles are not directed at us
syempre hinde
those are meant for the US when war breaks out in the SCS
do you honestly believe china will cause their own extinction by firing the first shot at the USA?
the closest the 2 nuclear powers had gone to war was when a chinese pilot forced a P3 orion gathering electronic signal intel on chinese coast to land on the paracel island
chinese pilot was lost at sea..P3 orion was boarded and inspected by the chinese..later on returned to the US
one dead chinese and no american dead..no war
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Last edited by kisshmet; May 4th, 2018 at 06:12 PM.
US and China on a collision course
a ruling power and a rising power
history says ruling powers and rising powers more often than not go to war
If one thing we could learn also from history is that the West vs. USSR was more likely to have caused WW3 but it did not.
So it is also a possibility that China and US will never engage in a full fledged war, conventional or nuclear.
The problem with China, as with USSR is that their model of gov't and economic strategy is not sustainable imho. It's highly polluting business model as some scholars mentioned will not sit well with the majority of the worlds population. Authoritarians maybe on the rise, but because it is inherently bad, Imho it will not succeed in the end.
Of course that is just my unprofessional view. I am no expert.
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