World economy talk

[uls]

Is a recession imminent?

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Inverted Yield Curve

What is an 'Inverted Yield Curve'

An inverted yield curve is an interest rate environment in which long-term debt instruments have a lower yield than short-term debt instruments of the same credit quality. This type of yield curve is the rarest of the three main curve types and is considered to be a predictor of economic recession.

[BlancNoir]

Inverted Yield Curve

I was just guessing since you mentioned this is the lowest spread among the 2 since 2007 and we all know what happened during 2007.

Thanks uls!

Maybe it's jolly time to liquidate all my position in the US. [emoji28]

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[uls]

yesterday:

check this out

the 3Y is yielding higher than the 5Y

actually investors don’t really care about the 3-5

what's important is the 2-10

but everytime the 3-5 inverted it's been followed by a 2-10 inversion and now the 2-10 is almost flaaaaat and can become negative soon

[uls]

I was just guessing since you mentioned this is the lowest spread among the 2 since 2007 and we all know what happened during 2007.

Thanks uls!

Maybe it's jolly time to liquidate all my position in the US. [emoji28]

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disclaimer: my posts are not investment advice

hehe

[Monseratto]

More blood tonight? US stocks isn't winning anymore...

S&P 500 Futures Plunge, Signaling Rout to Deepen in U.S. Stocks

[uls]

2-10 yield spread now 10 basis points

[dreamur]

More blood tonight? US stocks isn't winning anymore...

S&P 500 Futures Plunge, Signaling Rout to Deepen in U.S. Stocks

Bad timing. December pa naman. [emoji31][emoji31][emoji31]

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[Monseratto]

China Outraged at Arrest of Huawei CFO in Canada After U.S. Request

[uls]

Global economic slowdown

Challenger, Gray & Christmas Inc :

Companies around the globe are beginning to announce large-scale layoff plans, possibly signaling an upcoming downturn.

[uls]

yesterday:

2-10 yield spread now 10 basis points

today:


US 2Y yield: 2.764%

US 10Y yield: 2.892%

yield spread: 12.8 bps

well that's less flat

[StockEngine]

Bad timing. December pa naman. [emoji31][emoji31][emoji31]

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cant trust the media speculations 😅

cnn predicted Hillary Presidency

[Monseratto]

Winning not for the week...

For the week, the Dow plunged 1,15 points, or 4.5%. It was the index's worst week since March. - CNN

The Dow fell 559 points, or 2.2%, on Friday as investors were left confused by conflicting messages coming out of the White House on the trade negotiations with China. The index was down as much as 663 points at one point.

The Nasdaq closed with a loss of 3.1%, while the S&P 500 retreated 2.3%.

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[Monseratto]

Wall Street was set to open lower, futures indicated, after New York-listed shares posted their biggest weekly decline since March.

"Another day, another reason to sell risk. Equity markets remain in a world of pain with everyone in search of a very elusive silver lining," said Stephen Innes at brokerage OANDA

MSCI's all-country index has spent four weeks in the red, despite intermittent rallies fueled by hopes of trade war detente. The pessimism has been exacerbated by data showing the world's largest economies -- the United States, China, Japan and Germany -- are all headed for slower growth.

Stock selloff snowballs on fresh fears for world growth | Reuters

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[uls]

if you wanna know how the global economy is doing one thing you can look at is container shipping

Maersk, the world's largest container shipping company, was downgraded by Moody's

Moody's Downgrades Maersk

Moody's Investors Service has downgraded ratings for AP Moller-Maersk after a review of the Denmark-based shipping and oil company. Moody's expressed concerns about lower economic growth and the US-China trade war.

[BlancNoir]

if you wanna know how the global economy is doing one thing you can look at is container shipping

Maersk, the world's largest container shipping company, was downgraded by Moody's

Moody's Downgrades Maersk

uh-oh.

We are in for some deep correction, maybe even a recession if nagtuloy tuloy to.

[Monseratto]

And if China slows, demand for raw materials will slow too.


China’s copper and iron ore imports slump as economic growth slows

[uls]

.....and several months later.....

S&P: Global economy to see a necessary slowdown in 2019
BY FX STREET PUBLISHED: DEC 12, 2018 02:07 GMT | LAST MODIFIED: DEC 12, 2018 03:07 GMT FXSTREET NEWS

In its latest report, S&P Global Ratings, warned that the global economy is expected to see a necessary slowdown in 2019.

No further details are out on it yet.

[Monseratto]

.....and several months later.....

Stock market crash: Evidence mounting that investors are expecting one - Business Insider

[uls]

Stock market crash: Evidence mounting that investors are expecting one - Business Insider

$81B inflow into US money market funds last week according to Lipper data

that money came from outflows from stock and bond funds

[uls]

posted late October

this is USDCNH

CNH is offshore yuan

it's a big deal if it hits 7

believe me

so i felt 7 was an important level

i guess it really is