World economy talk

[uls]

finance media reporters said the US dollar will gonna keep falling after the Fed signaled no more rate hikes in 2019

REALLY?

dollar index recovers from selloff

[Monseratto]

Treasuries Buying Wave Triggers First Curve Inversion Since 2007

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[uls]

^^^

they're looking at the 3Y-10Y spread

-

the 2Y-10Y spread is still positive at 11.8 bps

[Monseratto]

Yen gains as global economic worries drive risk aversion | Reuters

Stocks across Asia retreated, tracking global peers, after weaker-than-expected U.S. and European manufacturing data on Friday intensified fears of a global economic slowdown.

“Bad economic data should not come as a real surprise to the markets. But hopes for improvements in Sino-U.S. trade relationships had overshadowed economic woes, and now we are seeing some of the excessive expectations being curtailed,” said Koji Fukaya, president of FPG Securities in Tokyo.

“The yen is gaining broadly, albeit by default, under such conditions.”

The dollar had already taken a big hit against the yen on Friday when the spread between 3-month Treasury bills and 10-year note yields inverted for the first time since 2007 following weak U.S. manufacturing PMI data.

Historically, an inverted yield curve has signaled an impending recession.

A much weaker-than-expected German manufacturing survey released on Friday had also raised concerns for Europe’s biggest economy and the wider euro zone.
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[uls]

correction to my previous post

i posted "they're looking at the 3Y-10Y spread"

should be 3M-10Y spread

anyway, the US economy is showing signs of slowing

the US ain't immune

[uls]

money is flowing out from equities and into bonds

the buying is driving down the US 10Y treasury yield

yields on the long end falling more than yields on the short end causing spread compression and even inversion of the yield curve

[uls]

The German 10Y is yielding negative

[Monseratto]

Asian shares lose steam on U.S. recession fears; kiwi dives on RBNZ signal | Reuters

The 10-year U.S. Treasuries yield inched to as high as 2.432 percent from Monday’s 15-month low of 2.377 percent, though the yield curve remained inverted, with three-month bills yielding 2.461 percent, more than 10-year bonds.

[uls]

finance media reporters said the US dollar will gonna keep falling after the Fed signaled no more rate hikes in 2019

REALLY?

dollar index recovers from selloff

update:

[uls]

the US is not immune

China industrial profits:


China industrial profits fall --> bad for China domestic consumption --> bad for US companies that sell stuff to China --> bad for US consumer sentiment --> bad for US economy

[Monseratto]

The EU and China are closer than ever. Thanks, Trump - Inkstone

[uls]

European leaders friendly to Xi

Airbus gets large order from China

[uls]

what is an IPO?

it's how early investors in tech startups exit their investment with large profit

suckers buy the IPO

[ray_noel]

what is an IPO?

it's how early investors in tech startups exit their investment with large profit

suckers buy the IPO

Kawawa ang na ipit...


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[dreamur]

Heads up

Deutsche Bank faces action over $2bn Russian money-laundering scheme | Business | The Guardian

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[Monseratto]

Slowing down....



Germany cuts growth forecast to .5% - News - NHK WORLD - English

[uls]

i think the dollar index will break multi-month resistance

head towards 98

[uls]

i think the dollar index will break multi-month resistance

head towards 98

good morning

update

[uls]

Q: how much cash savings should one have

A: umm... well... at least enough for 3 to 6 months of living expenses...

omg apple
Apple now has $225.4 billion cash on hand

[uls]

woke up to this (futures)

so much red

vix greenest -- volatility up

jpy, bonds, gold green -- flight to safety



thanks to trump