Bumaba today but still in the 3 digit level.
https://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/ind...2021-08-00-a-m
Timeframe? No one knows.
What kind of eruption will it be? Not likely as strong as 2020 if it were to erupt now.
As stated in the webinar above, raising the Alert Status has implications which is why PHIVOLCS and the LGUs are being careful. If this was January 2020, that would be easy. Raising it to 3 now will mean evacuating a lot of people (14km radius) and putting them in evacuation centers. This can result in a COVID super-spreader event. At least they already removed the people on the island which are the most vulnerable anyway.
Which areas will likely be affected? This will depend on where the eruption center will be (Main Crater? a flank crater or even underwater). For base surges, the coastal barangays and towns along the lake shore. If ashfall, winds are now easterlies so I those on the west, southwest and perhaps northwest (Cavite, western Batangas) are better off than those in the east, northeast and southeast (eastern Batangas, Laguna and Quezon.
Sana wag nang magerupt si Taal.
Dami pang hindi nakakabangon from the last eruption. Daming nawalan ng bahay[emoji22]
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Taal is playing mind games, one day down, the next or even a couple of days up.
maybe we are seeking a pattern where there is none...
at least, none when we consider the short time segment that is the human lifespan.
some decades ago, a famous scientist proclaimed, "nature (God) does not place dice!"
this was in response to an equally famous scientist, who had earlier said, "it's a matter of chance!"
well, we all know what was eventually proven: " "nature does play dice".
heh heh.
Last edited by dr. d; April 18th, 2021 at 12:10 AM.
1 quake, but the sulfur emission......
https://www.phivolcs.dost.gov.ph/ind...2021-08-00-a-m