Taal Eruption 2020

[SoleusBB]

Noong panahon ng Pinatubo walang intenet, socmed, youtube, etc.
Kahit cellphone, and text messages (SMS), lahat yan wala pa noong panahon.
Source lang ng info ng mga tao eh newspaper, TV, radio.
Ngayon naman, sobra-sobra dami ng info na nagkalat.

yan naman ang "curse" ng sobrang bilis makakuha ng info.

I’m reminded of an entry in “A Diary of the Japanese Occupation” by Father Juan Labrador, published by the UST press:

“There were rumors that the advancing Japanese had poisoned Manila’s water supply. Not too long afterwards, some folks started complaining of stomach pains.” (Note: the rumors turned out to be false)

79 years later, ganyan pa rin mga tao, mas mabilis lang kumalat ang balita and speculation ngayon.

[dr. d]

And then we have these.

Public taken by surprise: Cavite solon wants probe on abrupt Taal blast | Inquirer News

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...as if volcanoes are required by law to give warnings...
heh heh.

[SoleusBB]

...as if volcanoes are required by law to give warnings...
heh heh.

I'm not sure if volcanic eruptions and earthquakes can be predicted that far in advance with current technology yet.

I remember reading something about in Japan, minutes before lang ang alert warning nila for an earthquake. (But those few minutes can matter though). As for yung volcanoes, kahit may obvious signs (swelling at the base, steam and ash billowing out) so may alert levels raised, but no one can tell when and if its actually going to erupt or not.

Any geologist on the forum is free to correct me on this.

[dr. d]

i'm not a geologist.
but i think the science of volcanology is still (for lack of a better word) crude.
even now, after all that's happened since sunday, the experts still can't say with certainty, what the volcano is going to do, next.

[roninblade]

i'm not a geologist.
but i think the science of volcanology is still (for lack of a better word) crude.
even now, after all that's happened since sunday, the experts still can't say with certainty, what the volcano is going to do, next.

because we still have no way of looking at what's actually happening below where the magma is. all we can do is observe signs and events and make intelligent guesses/predictions based on scientific and historical data.

[leonleon]

i'm not a geologist.
but i think the science of volcanology is still (for lack of a better word) crude.
even now, after all that's happened since sunday, the experts still can't say with certainty, what the volcano is going to do, next.

Noong araw kasi doc ang turo sa school, scientists can predict volcanic eruptions.

Pero earthquake di talaga nila kaya i-predict.

Yun pala, kahit volcanic eruptions may limitation ang prediction ng mga scientists.

Si Solidum ng Phivolcs sabi di rin nila alam kung what's going to happen next and more importantly, when it's going to happen.

Oh well... sabi nga .. it's really hard to make predictions, especially about the future.

[Monseratto]

Waiting for the big boom...

Which could happen in hours, days or weeks.

In a press conference, the agency further explained that fissuring on the caldera region means that the top of the volcano has been depressurized and the high volume of magma continues to rise, which will result in an explosive eruption.

“Ito pong fissures na ito or fractures, ito po ay nangyari din nung 1911 na pagputok ng bulkan bago po nagprogress sa climactic o explosive eruption,” said Ma. Antonia Bornas, chief of Volcano Monitoring and Eruption Prediction Division.

(These fissures, the same happened in the 1911 eruption of the volcano before it progressed into a climactic or explosive eruption.)

Phivolcs also noted that another indication of an impending explosive eruption is the intense seismic activity or the 335 volcanic earthquakes recorded since Taal’s phreatic eruption on Sunday afternoon until 10 a.m. Tuesday.

According to Phivolcs, they have recorded earthquakes as strong as 4.1-magnitude since January 12. It said such a degree of tremor from inside the earth is considered powerful for a volcanic earthquake.

Fissuring in areas near Taal Volcano hints impending explosive eruption | Inquirer News

[leonleon]

Nasa gas station ako.

Sabi ng gas boy kakainin daw ni Psycho yung volcanic ash?

Totoo?

[vinrem]

Meron akong napanood na video, it happened new Zealand, tourist attraction ang island and some tourist went there pa and then the volcano erupted, 6 dead, buti na lang yung iba nakasakay na ng boat paalis but yung iba was not that lucky, you really can't predict when mother nature will fight back.

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[uls]

Waiting for the big boom...

Which could be hours, days or weeks.



Fissuring in areas near Taal Volcano hints impending explosive eruption | Inquirer News

me saying this is nothing compared to pinatubo is talking too early

pag nangyari ito it's gonna be serious

[dr. d]

those fissures,
it seems, lots of magma is collecting underground, causing the ground surface to swell..

[leonleon]

me saying this is nothing compared to pinatubo is talking too early

pag nangyari ito it's gonna be serious

Kaya nga nakakatakot ito, bro.

Everyone should take it seriously, and huwag bale-walain.

Mas malapit ito kaysa sa Pinatubo.

And hard as it is to do, stay calm pa rin.

[glenn_duke]

because we still have no way of looking at what's actually happening below where the magma is. all we can do is observe signs and events and make intelligent guesses/predictions based on scientific and historical data.

With the right and adequate ground monitoring instrument Philviocs can model what exactly the magma is doing. They have the tools to predict an eruption, but it appears the Taal monitoring team did not process their data fast enough that day , maybe because its a Sunday , too drunk the night before?

Earthquakes on the other hand, is a b*$ch.

[leonleon]

With the right and adequate ground monitoring instrument Philviocs can model what exactly the magma is doing. They have the tools to predict an eruption, but it appears the Taal monitoring team did not process their data fast enough that day , maybe because its a Sunday , too drunk the night before?

Earthquakes on the other hand, is a b*$ch.

Noong panahon kasi ng Pinatubo, tinulungan tayo ng mga Kano na nasa base militar.

They provided manpower and equipment to help Phiovolcs.

Ngayon, we are on our own, ika nga, with our limited resources and equipment.

Calling our friend "China". ehem.

[kagalingan]

Gene Akizuki Caralde
· Yesterday ·

Remember this great man? The younger generation may not know him, but this man is a hero. He saved millions of people from certain death when back in 1991, he and his team accurately predicted that Mt Pinatubo is going to erupt. Because of his insistence of a mandatory evacuation, the biggest volcanic eruption of the 20th century only killed a few hundred people when it could have wiped out the whole population of Central Luzon.

His name is Dr Ray Punongbayan. Don't ever forget it.

Ronjay Mosquete And the only man who said that the vicinity of Taal should never be habitable. And it turns out right after how many years of his death. Kudos!

Jomar Morales Gumboc nakumbinsi nia ang US military na iwan ang Clark Air Base
the balls of this man, kudos!

Roy A MaCaras katrabaho niya tyuhin ko si Dindo Javier sabay silang namatay sa chopper crash sa Nueva Ecija.

Odracir Airomat He dated my aunt when i was a kid hahaha

[leonleon]

Eto pa isa nakakainis sa FB at iba pang SOCMED.

Dami fake news.

Gaya nung ni-raise na raw to Alert 5 ng Phivolcs ang Taal situation.

Dapat talaga salain ang balita, kundi magiging psycho ka.

[SoleusBB]

Noong panahon kasi ng Pinatubo, tinulungan tayo ng mga Kano na nasa base militar.

They provided manpower and equipment to help Phiovolcs.

Ngayon, we are on our own, ika nga, with our limited resources and equipment.

Calling our friend "China". ehem.

I don't know. The Americans didn't predict it either.

[dr. d]

Gene Akizuki Caralde
· Yesterday ·

Remember this great man? The younger generation may not know him, but this man is a hero. He saved millions of people from certain death when back in 1991, he and his team accurately predicted that Mt Pinatubo is going to erupt. Because of his insistence of a mandatory evacuation, the biggest volcanic eruption of the 20th century only killed a few hundred people when it could have wiped out the whole population of Central Luzon.

His name is Dr Ray Punongbayan. Don't ever forget it.

Ronjay Mosquete And the only man who said that the vicinity of Taal should never be habitable. And it turns out right after how many years of his death. Kudos!

Jomar Morales Gumboc nakumbinsi nia ang US military na iwan ang Clark Air Base
the balls of this man, kudos!

Roy A MaCaras katrabaho niya tyuhin ko si Dindo Javier sabay silang namatay sa chopper crash sa Nueva Ecija.

Odracir Airomat He dated my aunt when i was a kid hahaha

how can i forget!
he gave me a high grade in geo 11.

[SoleusBB]

Nasa gas station ako.

Sabi ng gas boy kakainin daw ni Psycho yung volcanic ash?

Totoo?

Not only that. Iihian pa daw niya yung Taal. To put it out (???) or to prove he's still in good health? Ewan

[leonleon]

I don't know. The Americans didn't predict it either.

10 weeks before the eruption:

Monitoring: 10 weeks before the eruption

At Pinatubo, the volcanic unrest began April 2, 1991, with a series of small steam explosions. In Manila, Dr. Raymundo Punongbayan, Director of PHIVOLCS, dispatched a team to investigate a fissure that opened on the north side of the volcano and was emitting steam and sulfur fumes. PHIVOLCS set up a seismograph and began monitoring earthquakes. Dr. Punongbayan also called his friend, Dr. Chris Newhall, at the USGS. The two scientists began working on how to get the USGS-USAID Volcano Disaster Assistance Program team to the Philippines to help monitor Pinatubo.

Three weeks later, Newhall, along with VDAP volcanologists Andy Lockhart, John Power, John Ewert, Rick Hoblitt and Dave Harlow, began unpacking 35 trunks of gear at temporary quarters on Clark Air Base. The seismic drum room was a maze of wires and cables; the daily drum roll of seismicity posted on the walls. Instrumentation was drawn principally from a permanent supply of specialized equipment kept ready for volcano crises under the auspices of the USGS Volcano Hazards Program and the joint USGS-USAID VDAP. They nicknamed the place PVO—the Pinatubo Volcano Observatory.

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Not only that. Iihian pa daw niya yung Taal. To put it out (???) or to prove he's still in good health? Ewan

Hindi pala fake news.

Natawa lang ako at yung gas boy.