Philippine Weather This Weekend---Heads Up

[Jun aka Pekto]

I stil prefer PAGASA. They actually forecast and have accountability. Everyone with internet access in the Philippines should visit PAGASA's web site regularly.

[Zeus]

Lumakas yung bagyo a, na sa 140 kph hanggang 170 kph yung lakas ng hangin, baka rin daw tumama o dumaan malapit sa Metro Manila yun bagyo!

Typhoon threatens Mindoro, Panay islands


[SIZE=2]Tropical Cyclone Frank (international code name: Fengshen) has moved westward for the past six hours and is now threatening Panay and the Mindoro area instead of Quezon province and the Ilocos region, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Saturday. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Typhoon signal no. 3 has been declared over Lubang Island, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Romblon, Marinduque, Masbate, Burias Island, Calamian Group of Islands, Aklan, Northern Antique, Capiz, and Northern Iloilo. These places will experience winds of 100-185 kph, PAGASA said. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Typhoon signal no. 2 has been declared over Laguna, Cavite, Batangas, Southern Quezon, Camarines Sur, Albay, Sorsogon, Northern Palawan, Cuyo Island, Samar provinces, Biliran Island, Leyte, rest of of Antique, rest of Iloilo, Northern Negros Occidental, and Northern Cebu, the weather bureau said. Winds there will be at 60-100 kph.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]PAGASA said typhoon signal No. 1 has been lowered over the rest of Palawan, Bataan, Zambales, Pampanga, Bulacan, Rizal, rest of Quezon, Polillo Island, Camarines Norte, Catanduanes, Metro Manila, rest of Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, rest of Cebu, Bohol, Southern Leyte, and Dinagat Island.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]In a press statement issued at 5 am, PAGASA said Typhoon Frank was located 70 kms south of Masbate province or 60 kms northeast of Roxas City, Capiz province. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Typhoon Frank has maximum sustained winds of 140 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 170 kph.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]PAGASA said the typhoon dumped 300 millimeters of rainfall over Catbalogan and Tacloban where winds reached 100 kph. In Roxas City, rainfall reached 153 millimeters where winds reached 75 kph. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]In an interview over dzMM, Dr. Anthony Golez, spokesman of the National Disaster Coordinating Council (NDCC) warned storm surges and flash floods may occur in provinces that will be hard hit by the typhoon. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Typhoon Frank is moving west northwest at 15 kph and by Sunday morning is forecast to be 70 kms West of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]If it continues on this path, by Monday morning it will be at 200 kms west northwest of Iba, Zambales and by Tuesday morning will be 370 kms west northwest of Laoag, Ilocos Norte.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Public storm signals in areas not mentioned have been lowered but residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes are advised to take all the necessary precautions against possible flashfloods and landslides, PAGASA said. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]It has also issued warnings that Typhoon Frank might cause big waves and storm surges in the coastal areas covered by signal 2 and 3.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]The public and the disaster coordinating councils concerned are advised by PAGASA to take appropriate action and watch for the next bulletin to be issued at 11 a.m. today. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]In an interview over dzMM, Department of Science and Technology Secretary Estrella Alabastro said provincial and municipal coordinating councils have been activated in the areas where the storm is expected. [/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]"I am confident we can cope," she said, citing increased level of awareness.[/SIZE]

Source:www.abs-cbnnews.com
June 21, 2008

[shadow]

I think lumihis na sa Metro Manila..based sa noon news

[shadow]

ito and projected track ni typhoon "Frank" ng different weather stations

[Monseratto]

Heard from the news that the province of Iloilo is hit by its worst flooding many has not seen for a long time. The media stations have recieved pleas for help when the flood water has reached roof levels, some victims were even clinging to trees...

MMDA braces for 'Frank,' expects typhoon's impact on Sunday
06/21/2008 | 12:45 PM

Email this | Email the Editor | Print | Digg this | Add to del.icio.us MANILA, Philippines - The Metro Manila Development Authority (MMDA) is now preparing for typhoon "Frank," which it expects to hit the metropolis on Sunday.

MMDA general manager Roberto Nacianceno said the agency's chairman Bayani Fernando ordered officials and rescue groups to report to MMDA offices at 7 p.m. Saturday.

"Expect natin by tomorrow morning darating ang storm ... Si Chairman pinapahanda ang rescue groups. We'll sleep overnight sa emergency center (We expect 'Frank' to hit Metro Manila Sunday morning. The chairman has ordered rescue groups to be ready. We'll sleep overnight at the MMDA emergency center)," Nacianceno said in an interview on Q-11 television.

Nacianceno said 10 trucks manned by MMDA personnel would be readied for Sunday. He said some 300 MMDA personnel will be on alert for those who would be affected by the typhoon.

He appealed to residents in low-lying areas to heed calls to move out of their homes if asked by MMDA teams. - GMANews.TV

[Jun aka Pekto]

ito and projected track ni typhoon "Frank" ng different weather stations

PAGASA seems to be following the CMA from Beijing.

I do recall the tropical storm that was the original subject of this thread, none of these models got it right. Some were too fast, others were too slow. Even the JTWC was varying way too much. It goes to show how tricky typhoon forecasting is.

[Zeus]

Signal number 2 sa M. Manila, lumakas pa lalo ang bagyo..na sa 160 kph hanggang 195 kph ang lakas ng hangin!

PAGASA: Typhoon 'Frank' intensifies further, moving towards Mindoro


[SIZE=2][SIZE=2]Typhoon "Frank" (international codename: Fengshen) has intensified further as it moves toward Mindoro, the country’s weather bureau, Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services (PAGASA), said Saturday afternoon.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]In its 5 p.m. weather bulletin, PAGASA said the eye of the storm has been spotted off the coast of Romblon, or in the vicinity of Tablas Island.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]'Frank' has maximum sustained winds of 160 kilometers per hour (kph) near the center and gustiness of up to 195 kph, and is moving northwest at 11 kph.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Public storm warning signal No. 3 has been hoisted in Romblon, Marinduque, Batangas, Oriental Mindoro, Occidental Mindoro, Lubang Island, the Calamian Group of Islands, northern Antique, Aklan, and Capiz.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Signal No. 2 is in effect in Bataan, Cavite, Laguna, Rizal, Quezon, Polillo Island, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Masbate, Burias Island, Albay, northern Palawan, Metro Manila, the rest of Antique, Iloilo, and Guimaras.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Signal No. 1, meanwhile, has been raised over Tarlac, Bulacan, Pampanga, Zambales, southern Aurora, Sorsogon, the rest of Palawan, Negros Occidental, Negros Oriental, Cebu, Leyte, Bohol, and Siquijor.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]The typhoon will continue to enhance the southwest monsoon and bring rains over the western section of Mindanao, which may trigger flashfloods and landslides, the weather bureau warned.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes under storm signals are advised to take all the necessary precautions against possible flashfloods and landslides, PAGASA said.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]It added that those living in coastal areas under signals 2 and 3 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by the typhoon.[/SIZE]
[/SIZE]

Source: www.abs-cbnnews.com
June 21, 2008

[Zeus]

PAGASA seems to be following the CMA from Beijing.

I do recall the tropical storm that was the original subject of this thread, none of these models got it right. Some were too fast, others were too slow. Even the JTWC was varying way too much. It goes to show how tricky typhoon forecasting is.

Yes, very tricky indeed 1st forecast said it is going the direction of Samar area, then bicol and out of pacific ocean. Now it is moving west North west, and base on the map graph, there's a lot of path, and the red path is a direct hit of M. Manila.

[Zeus]

Humina yung bagyo, na sa 120 kph na lang ang lakas ng hangin, pero papunta na yata sa direksyon ng M. Manila! Signal 3 na ang M. Manila! Ingat na lang tayo!

PAGASA: ‘Frank’ now likely to hit Metro Manila early Sunday morning


[SIZE=2][SIZE=2]Metro Manila and its neighboring provinces are now under public storm warning SIGNAL NUMBER 3 as typhoon Frank (international codename Fengshen) agaisn changed course and is now barreling its way towards southern Luzon, the Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services (PAGASA) said Saturday evening.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]In an emergency press conference at the National Disaster Coordinating Council at around 10:30 p.m. Saturday, PAGASA said the typhoon shifted its course and is now moving in a more northerly direction.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]"Matapos magtagal ng halos tatlong oras sa may Romblon, nagkaroon ng pagbabago, instead of moving towards Mindoro then South China Sea, nakikita natin na posibleng tumama sa Metro Manila, didiretso ng Zambales, bago pumunta ng South China Sea then lalabas ng Philippine Area of Responsibility," PAGASA weather forecasting division chief Nathaniel Cruz said.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]"Likely it will pass all over Metro Manila. Base sa current directions, sa Metro Manila dadaan between 5 a.m. to 6 a.m., but before that, mararamdaman na ang pag-ulan at pabugsu-bugsong hangin. We may expect flooding," PAGASA Director Prisco Nilo said.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]"[The] center of typhoon Frank [ay] sa may Romblon at nagkaroon ng konting pagkabasag ang kanyang circulation kaya bahagyang humina," Cruz added.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]In its 11 p.m. weather bulletin, PAGASA said the eye of the storm has been spotted 70 kilometers (km) southeast of Calapan, Oriental Mindoro, or 100 km south-southeast of Batangas City, and is moving at a northwesterly direction at 15 kilometers per hour (kph).[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]"Frank" has slightly weakened and now has maximum sustained winds of 120 kph near the center and gustiness of up to 150 kph, Cruz said.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Storm signals[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Public storm warning Signal No. 3 has been hoisted over Occidental Mindoro, Oriental Mindoro, Lubang Island, Marinduque, Romblon, Batangas, Laguna, Cavite, Rizal, Bataan, Quezon province's Bondoc Peninsula, and Metro Manila.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Signal No. 2 is in effect in the Calamian group of islands, Burias Island, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, the rest of Quezon, Polillo Island, Bulacan, Pampanga, Nueva Ecija, Tarlac, Zambales, southern Aurora, Antique, Aklan, Capiz, and Sibuyan Island.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Signal No. 1, meanwhile, has been raised over northern Palawan, Masbate, Ticao Island, Albay, the rest of Aurora, Quirino, Nueva Vizcaya, Pangasinan, Sorsogon, Iloilo, Guimaras, and Negros Occidental.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]The typhoon will continue to enhance the southwest monsoon and bring rains over the western section of Mindanao, which may trigger flashfloods and landslides, the weather bureau warned.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]Residents in low-lying areas and near mountain slopes under storm signals are advised to take all the necessary precautions against possible flashfloods and landslides, PAGASA said.[/SIZE]
[SIZE=2]It added that those living in coastal areas under signals 2 and 3 are alerted against big waves or storm surges generated by the typhoon. [/SIZE]
[/SIZE]

Source: www.abs-cbnnews.com
June 22, 2008

[Zeus]

Ito na yata ang direction!