Philippine Weather This Weekend---Heads Up

**chua_riwap** · June 22nd, 2008 04:18 AM

At around 4 - 4:30AM, malakas na hangin here in Cavite......

Nag-change course pala itong si Pareng Frank.

**Zeus** · June 22nd, 2008 04:36 AM

dito na yata bagyo sa M. Manila! na gising ako sa mga sipol ng hangin, lakas na ng hangin galing North east! wala naman ulan

**Jun aka Pekto** · June 22nd, 2008 04:48 AM

The current conditions and forecast for Ninoy Airport:

-----------------------------------------------------------
RPLL 212000Z 32026G39KT 8000 RA SCT020 OVC090 25/24 Q992 CONTUS LGT RA TEMPO 32030G55KT 5000 +RA RMK A2930
RPLL 212000Z 212106 33025KT 6000 RA SCT018 OVC080
TEMPO 2103 03030G55KT 4000 +RA FEW009 SCT018 OVC070 TN24/22Z TX25/03Z
-----------------------------------------------------------

39 knots is 72 kph. 55 knots is 102 kph.

Their current forecast calls for 25 knots (46 kph) sustained winds all day with gusts of 102 kph from 5am until 11am along with heavy rain.

You guys (and gals) hunker down over there. 50 knots (93 kph) is normally the threshold for what is considered life-threatening winds because of what such winds can pick up and hurl towards you like a jagged piece of corrugated roofing for instance. I feel for those without robust shelters.

**Zeus** · June 22nd, 2008 05:00 AM

Originally Posted by Jun aka Pekto

The current conditions and forecast for Ninoy Airport:

-----------------------------------------------------------
RPLL 212000Z 32026G39KT 8000 RA SCT020 OVC090 25/24 Q992 CONTUS LGT RA TEMPO 32030G55KT 5000 +RA RMK A2930
RPLL 212000Z 212106 33025KT 6000 RA SCT018 OVC080
TEMPO 2103 03030G55KT 4000 +RA FEW009 SCT018 OVC070 TN24/22Z TX25/03Z
-----------------------------------------------------------

39 knots is 72 kph. 55 knots is 102 kph.

Their current forecast calls for 25 knots (46 kph) sustained winds all day with gusts of 102 kph from 5am until 11am along with heavy rain.

You guys (and gals) hunker down over there. 50 knots (93 kph) is normally the threshold for what is considered life-threatening winds because of what such winds can pick up and hurl towards you like a jagged piece of corrugated roofing for instance. I feel for those without robust shelters.

Yes, I can't sleep because there's non stop howling of wind here right now! but there's no rain

**chua_riwap** · June 22nd, 2008 06:51 AM

Hupa na yung hangin, dito sa Cavite. Mga 6:30AM tigil na. Ulan naman pumalit.

**usong725** · June 22nd, 2008 07:07 AM

humupa konti yung hangin. ngayon sobra ulit lakas may kasama na hanging. flight pa naman namin 8am to hongkong. cancelled na kya mga flights? brownout pa naman dito sa amin at sobra hirap tumawag cebupacific

**Jun aka Pekto** · June 22nd, 2008 07:15 AM

The last few hours of weather observations from Ninoy Airport:

RPLL 212300Z [SIZE=3]240[/SIZE]28G40KT 2000 RA BKN020 OVC090 26/25 Q993 CONTUS MOD RA RMK A2933
RPLL 212200Z [SIZE=3]250[/SIZE]34G44KT 4000 RA BKN020 OVC090 26/25 Q991 CONTUS LGT RA TEMPO +RA RMK A2927
RPLL 212100Z 31030G46KT 8000 RA SCT020 OVC090 26/25 Q990 CONTUS LGT RA RMK A2924
RPLL 212000Z 32026G39KT 8000 RA SCT020 OVC090 25/24 Q992 CONTUS LGT RA TEMPO 32030G55KT 5000 +RA RMK A2930
RPLL 211900Z 33020G30KT 8000 RA SCT020 OVC090 25/24 Q995 INTMT LGT RA RMK A2939
RPLL 211800Z 34014KT 8000 SCT020 OVC090 25/24 Q997 TEMPO 7000 RA RMK A2945

The winds shifted southwesterly at 2200z/0600am Manila local time. That would indicate the center of the typhoon is somewhere north of Manila. Or maybe to the east. It's difficult to say without more observations from other areas. But altimeter/pressure is starting to go up. I'm inclined to think it's north of Manila.

With a southwesterly wind direction...... Guess what's to the southwest? Lots and lots of atmospheric moisture and an intensified southwest monsoon, aka heavy rain. That typhoon will suck them all in towards western Luzon. Watch for flooding as well as broken power lines and potholes.

Add: 2000 meters is about a mile and a quarter. If that's all rain and not mist/fog, that's some pretty heavy rain. I'm not sure what variation of the METAR code PAGASA uses. But, if that was here, I'd have it 2000 +RA.

2000 meter visibility is something I normally associate with fog or snow although I've seen visibilities as low as 200 meters from downpours. Those things just makes my jaw drop in amazement.

Olongapo's observations show the pressure still going down and the winds still from the northwest. So, "Frank" is still approaching that area:

RPLB 212300Z 34014KT 9000 FEW018 OVC080 28/23 Q0997 LGT SHRA
RPLB 212200Z 02004KT 5000 FEW018 OVC080 26/22 Q0997 LGT SHRA
RPLB 212100Z 02010G20KT 9000 SHRA FEW018 OVC080 25/22 Q0998 LGT RASH
RPLB NIL
RPLB 211900Z CALM 9999 FEW018 OVC080 26/22 Q0999
RPLB 211800Z CALM 9999 FEW018 OVC080 25/22 Q0999

**Monseratto** · June 22nd, 2008 09:29 AM

Bilis ng Tsikot ngayon. Dami ata walang kuryente...

Typhoon 'Frank' whips MM; headed now for Central Luzon

Strong gusts and rains whipped Metro Manila Sunday early morning as Philippine Atmospheric, Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said that the center of Typhoon "Frank" (international codename Fengshen) passed the nation’s capital.

"As of 6 o'clock, ito po ay nasa vicinity ng Metro Manila. Medyo humina po siya but iyong mahina na iyon is still 120 kilometers per hour near the center, gustiness 150 kilometers per hour. Tumatakbo po north northwest at 15 kph," said Nathaniel Cruz, PAGASA weather forecasting division chief said in a press conference past 7 a.m.

"Typhoon 'Frank' passed Quezon City 6 o'clock ngayon pong umaga. Nearest to Metro Manila, napakalapit po. 20 kilometro lamang silangan at 4:30 a.m.," said Cruz.

He said gusts of 100 kph were recorded at PAGASA-Department of Science and Technology station in Quezon City.

**_Cathy_** · June 22nd, 2008 09:30 AM

Now I don't know if I should still go to Greenhills to attend a birthday party at 12 noon. I'll be coming from Makati kasi. Does EDSA get flooded ba? Yung garden kasi naman disaster na but my friend who's also from Makati told me that she'll still be going to Ghills. hehe.