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  1. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #11
    the price of oil is based on what is being pumped out of the ground. not based on the trillions of barrels still under the ground

    it doesnt matter to the market how much undiscovered oil there is under the ground

    from the time of discovery of a new oil field to the time the new oil field comes online takes years. so it doesnt freaking matter

    current global oil production is around 88 million barrels per pay

    current global oil consumption is 86+ million barrels per day

    that's less than 2 million barrels of spare capacity

    easy to understand why the market is so jumpy

    a disruption in any major oil producer can wipe out that spare capacity

    when supply > demand, you're safe

    when supply = demand, you're on the edge

    when supply < demand, you're screwed

    that's why the price of oil is where it is now

    everyone's betting on more supply disruptions

    and stronger demand
    Last edited by uls; April 3rd, 2011 at 07:31 PM.

  2. Join Date
    Nov 2008
    Posts
    1,383
    #12
    Quote Originally Posted by hondaboot View Post
    so like i said, as i was saying before, all things around involves the power of the light or the sun or the stars.
    Not True. Nuclear Energy is derived from radioactive material from inside the earth.

  3. Join Date
    May 2006
    Posts
    6,940
    #13
    * Uls,Bat galit ka?

  4. Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Posts
    420
    #14
    Quote Originally Posted by marg View Post
    Not True. Nuclear Energy is derived from radioactive material from inside the earth.
    plutonium and uranium are not from this earth. they are radioactive debris from exploding stars from millions and millions of years ago. hence, the power the light na naman.

  5. Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Posts
    420
    #15
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post


    misinformation

    the USD is not backed by oil

    the USD is not backed by any hard asset

    the USD is backed by the Federal Reserve

    the Federal Reserve has a 3 trillion dollar balance sheet (rounded off)

    the Federal Reserve balance sheet contains debt

    USG debt, mortgage debt

    the USD is backed by debt. not oil

    kaw naman *uls, debt is a convenient scapegoat bec. it is intangible.

    when money was backed by gold, then it won't be long that Gold will be depleted bec. it can be stolen.

    the same is true if people learn the nature that the monetary system is backed by oil.

    so the Fed never contests that the entire monetary system is backed by debt bec. how can anybody steal or hoard debt.

    debt is only payable if people work. if people work all the time, then how come people are still in debt. the harder they work, the greater the govt. plunge in debt.

    so i never really bought that idea that debt backs the monetary system.


    work / productivity in our lifetime is only possible if there is energy, and therefore, the entire system depends entirely on oil.

  6. Join Date
    Sep 2010
    Posts
    420
    #16
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    the price of oil is based on what is being pumped out of the ground. not based on the trillions of barrels still under the ground

    it doesnt matter to the market how much undiscovered oil there is under the ground

    from the time of discovery of a new oil field to the time the new oil field comes online takes years. so it doesnt freaking matter

    current global oil production is around 88 million barrels per pay

    current global oil consumption is 86+ million barrels per day

    that's less than 2 million barrels of spare capacity

    easy to understand why the market is so jumpy

    a disruption in any major oil producer can wipe out that spare capacity

    when supply > demand, you're safe

    when supply = demand, you're on the edge

    when supply < demand, you're screwed

    that's why the price of oil is where it is now

    everyone's betting on more supply disruptions

    and stronger demand

    not really on the supply, oil future contracts lang naman yan. insider info trading can never really be considered as unlawful, bec. studying the trends and graphs for forecasting / trending can also be called insider information trading.

  7. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #17
    Quote Originally Posted by oliver1013 View Post
    * Uls,Bat galit ka?
    di po

    hyper lang nasobrohan caffeine hehe

  8. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #18
    Quote Originally Posted by hondaboot View Post
    kaw naman *uls, debt is a convenient scapegoat bec. it is intangible.

    when money was backed by gold, then it won't be long that Gold will be depleted bec. it can be stolen.

    the same is true if people learn the nature that the monetary system is backed by oil.

    so the Fed never contests that the entire monetary system is backed by debt bec. how can anybody steal or hoard debt.

    debt is only payable if people work. if people work all the time, then how come people are still in debt. the harder they work, the greater the govt. plunge in debt.

    so i never really bought that idea that debt backs the monetary system.


    work / productivity in our lifetime is only possible if there is energy, and therefore, the entire system depends entirely on oil.
    let's go back a bit

    what is gold-backed money?

    a bank has gold in its vault and it issues certificates that say the certificates represent X amount of gold. the certificates can be used to buy things with

    and the certificates can also be used redeem gold from the bank

    oil-backed money? which bank has oil in its vault? show me the bank coz i have USD and i want redeem my oil

  9. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #19
    Quote Originally Posted by hondaboot View Post
    not really on the supply, oil future contracts lang naman yan. insider info trading can never really be considered as unlawful, bec. studying the trends and graphs for forecasting / trending can also be called insider information trading.
    you don't even know what insider info is

    "studying the trends and graphs for forecasting / trending" is insider info?

    how can that be insider info when everyone has access to graphs?

    insider info is like this --- let's say i'm an executive of a company. the company is planning to buy a competitor. nobody outside the company knows about the plan. what i do i tell some friends to buy the shares of the target company. days later, the plan is announced to the public and the share price of the target company rises -- that's INSIDER info. kaya tinawag na insider

    --

    oil futures are used to bet on the FUTURE price of oil

    so even if there really isnt oil shortage at present, speculators are betting there will be shortage in the future. kaya tumataas ang oil price

    the market always thinks in advance

  10. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #20
    sorry OT na. si OB ang nag bring up nito eh

    here's gold-backed paper money:



    when paper money was backed by gold, you can go to the bank and exchange it for real gold

    show me oil-backed paper money

    i wanna go the a bank and redeem my oil

    --

    OB:
    debt is only payable if people work. if people work all the time, then how come people are still in debt. the harder they work, the greater the govt. plunge in debt.
    coz it is in the best interest of the bankers to keep people and governments in debt

    ever growing debt is required to keep the global monetary system going. if all debt is paid, the system will collapse
    Last edited by uls; April 4th, 2011 at 12:53 PM.

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