Martial Law in Mindanao

[anonemus]

A must read and highly recommend analysis piece

Duterte Must Move Beyond Martial Law to Counter Terrorism in the Philippines | The Diplomat

[anonemus]

RIP to one of our truly best and brightest

[uls]

A must read and highly recommend analysis piece

Duterte Must Move Beyond Martial Law to Counter Terrorism in the Philippines | The Diplomat

thanks for posting Sir

i read every word of it.

btw, from the article:

Duterte is from Mindanao, and he does know that the Moros have been systematically mistreated by Manila. He has empathy, but he doesn’t have a strategy.

[uls]

the article is written by Dr. Zachary Abuza

Who is Dr. Zachary Abuza?


About

Dr. Zachary Abuza is a Professor at the National War College, in Washington, DC, where he focuses on Southeast Asian politics and security issues, including governance, insurgencies, democratization and human rights, and maritime security.

He is the author of five books, including Conspiracy of Silence: The Insurgency in Southern Thailand (2008), Political Islam and Violence in Indonesia (2006), Militant Islam in Southeast Asia (2003), and Renovating Politics in Contemporary Vietnam (2001). His latest book, Forging Peace in Southeast Asia: Insurgencies, Peace Processes, and Reconciliation, is a comparative analysis of the peace processes in Aceh, Mindanao and southern Thailand (2016). He authored the Southeast Asian chapter in the acclaimed, study Leaving Terrorism Behind. In addition, he has authored four monographs on security issues in Southeast Asia and has recently completed a major survey on the media and civil society in Vietnam for the National Endowment for Democracy. He is currently working on a project for the National Defense University's Project on Irregular Warfare.

Dr. Abuza has lectured at the Foreign Service Institute, the Joint Special Operations University, and other government entities. He has consulted widely to the US Government and corporations with interest in Southeast Asia. He has served as a Congressional witness on three occasions, most recently in May 2017. In 2004-05, he was a Senior Fellow at the US Institute of Peace and a recipient of a Fulbright Fellowship.

He received his B.A. from Trinity College (1991), and M.A.L.D. (1994) and Ph.D. (1998) from the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy, Tufts University. He is a frequent commentator in the press and has lived and traveled extensively throughout the region.

so he says "Moros have been systematically mistreated by Manila"

pag ako nagsabi lahat ng haters ko kumontra

now let's see my haters kontra someone with credentials

[uls]

A must read and highly recommend analysis piece

Duterte Must Move Beyond Martial Law to Counter Terrorism in the Philippines | The Diplomat

i read it twice Sir

thanks

[anonemus]

the article is written by Dr. Zachary Abuza

Who is Dr. Zachary Abuza?


About





so he says "Moros have been systematically mistreated by Manila"

pag ako nagsabi lahat ng haters ko kumontra

now let's see my haters kontra someone with credentials

It is a statistical fact that there is strong prejudice against Moros in the country, both historically and recently as evidenced by various surveys which show that most Filipinos opposed the BBL in 2015, for various reasons.

Duterte himself--a wily politician--played on this social division during the campaign by harping on the Imperial Manila vs Mindanao, Tagalog vs Bisaya, oligarchs vs masa, etc etc narrative to successfully win votes. Ang tanong is is he doing something to bridge this divide or is he continuing his divide-and-rule style of governance?

The irony here is, being a Mindanaoan and with Maranaw blood pa man din, he's causing more divisions in this country. And his declaration of Martial Law and continuing machismo and militaristic mindset, will further worsen the situation down South.

Sharing this very succint 2-piece analysis piece by Miriam Coronel-Ferrer who led the govt panel in the MILF-GPH peace process. She warned beforehand that young Moros will go extreme if no peace agreement was passed by Congress. Nangyari nga.

Jihadists rise in Mindanao | Inquirer News


Winning the peace: Beyond antiterrorism | Inquirer News

Duterte is throwing Mindanao to the jihadist dogs.

[uls]

It is a statistical fact that there is strong prejudice against Moros in the country, both historically and recently as evidenced by various surveys which show that most Filipinos opposed the BBL in 2015, for various reasons.

Duterte himself--a wily politician--played on this social division during the campaign by harping on the Imperial Manila vs Mindanao, Tagalog vs Bisaya, oligarchs vs masa, etc etc narrative to successfully win votes. Ang tanong is is he doing something to bridge this divide or is he continuing his divide-and-rule style of governance?

The irony here is, being a Mindanaoan and with Maranaw blood pa man din, he's causing more divisions in this country. And his declaration of Martial Law and continuing machismo and militaristic mindset, will further worsen the situation down South.

Sharing this very succint analysis piece by Miriam Coronel-Ferrer who led the MILF-GPH peace process. She warned beforehand that young Moros will go extreme if not peace is achieved soon. Nangyari nga.

Jihadists rise in Mindanao | Inquirer News
Winning the peace: Beyond antiterrorism | Inquirer News

Duterte is throwing Mindanao to the jihadist dogs.

my haters think im pro-du30

but on page 2 of this thread i posted this

OA martial law whole mindanao

or that means they know the problem is bigger than what the public knows

i think it's really an overreaction on du30's part

--

while everyone was buying the story that maute went into marawi to rescue/defend Hapilon

i posted that maute was already in marawi long before that and was already planning to take over marawi coz they wanted to earn ISIS recognition/accreditation

i posted that their plan was pushed forward coz govt troops went into marawi

predictably i was ridiculed by my haters

but as the days of Marawi siege went on, everything i said got confirmed

specially the videos showing maute brothers with Hapilon and others planning how to attack marawi

[anonemus]

OA nga, and consistent with his duro style of governance. Nananakot. Yabang. Machismo talaga. Kayang durugin ang Maute in 24 hours. Pero 3 days na lang daw para walang civilian casualties masyado. 3 days ended last Thursday and last night was one of the most brutal fighting since this began, with 12-13 of our finest Marines dead.

Quoted piece from the Diplomat article:

Philippines President Rodrigo Duterte, who was for two decades the mayor of Mindanao's largest city, Davao, raised hopes that he would build bridges to the region's older and more peace-inclined militant groups when he came to power last year. But he has made little progress. This week, he dismissed any negotiations with the extremists on Marawi, adding that he was determined to keep Islamic State out of the country.

The president "may have been overconfident in believing that his experience in dealing with communist rebels in Davao City over the years would translate into success at the national level," said Marc Singer, director of business intelligence at risk-assessment firm PSA Group in Manila.

Philippines Struggles to Suppress ISIS-Linked Rebels as Foreign Fighters Found

Written by former Joint Special Operations Task Force-Philippines (JSOTF-P) commander Dave Maxwell

[uls]

totally underestimated maute-isis force

and it can be blamed entirely on du30

from the Diplomat article you posted:

The Philippine Military

After weeks of fighting, the Philippine military has been unable to dislodge the Maute Group from Malawi, a relatively small city. Though they claim Maute had amassed 500 fighters, there is little evidence of this from any reporters on the ground. To be fair, the Armed Forces of the Philippines (AFP) has very little experience in urban warfare, and street to street fighting is very hard. But there is ample reason to be critical of the AFP’s performance.

First, the whole siege began with a botched raid; and there is compelling evidence that the Maute Group set a very effective ambush for them.

Second, the AFP cannot claim to have been taken by surprise. The Maute group has sieged towns and cities twice in 2016. This is part of their playbook.

Third, they have used artillery and “dumb” gravity aerial munitions on an urban environment inhabited by civilians. Indeed, a tragic air attack on June 1 led to the death of 10 AFP in a friendly fire incident; seven more were wounded. Friendly fire incidents are a fact of war, but the lack of training is very apparent. As former Joint Special Operations Task Force-Philippines (JSOTF-P) commander Col. Dave Maxwell (Ret) put it in his blog, “Training is perishable and if it is not sustained you will have incidents like this.” The AFP made a big show of deploying some of their new F-50 jet fighters to Malawi, but the lack of resources for training almost ensures that more civilians and soldiers are in the line of fire.

Fourth, the AFP has received ample training and an average $50 million in assistance from the United States in counter-terrorism since 2002. Australia and other donors have likewise provided training and assistance. Though the United States disbanded the joint special operations task force, a skeleton crew remains providing intelligence. Duterte had called for their removal, but has walked that demand back, owing to pressure from his own military.

The responsibility for the AFP’s poor performance falls on Duterte, who has made his war on drugs his priority issue, rather than domestic security, despite ample evidence of a rapidly deteriorating situation. He has spoken of giving the AFP a constabulary role to support the police in their brutal campaign of extra-judicial killings. This diverts scarce resources from the mission.

[anonemus]

Relevant to our topic. What the Divider-in-Chief recently said

Duterte tags Ilocano, Ilonggo soldiers as the best: Don't give their mothers birth pills

As someone who identifies with Bisayas, this offends me