Weather TALK [forecasts, etc]

[CVT]

This could be flooding of biblical proportions. Terrible.

Go North, Kid !!!



"The measure of a man is what he does with power" LJIOHF!

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[Monseratto]

Oh well. It's not the first time northern Luzon got slammed.

Looking at Google Maps..... Gee. I wonder why the west coast have many cities while the east coast is sparsely populated? Much greener too.

Wondering why the forecast show the storm strength won't be affected too much by the Sierra Madre mountain ranges and why it will take the storm 3 days to cross Luzon... that's what people are worried about. Only good thing is it will pass over the water sheds that need the rain.

[Monseratto]

+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++

[minicarph]

Wala naman sierra madre sa north

[badkuk]

i read a tweet that Lando is bring several feet of rain. Are we talking about Ondoy-level rains here?

[minicarph]

Malang Ondoy level kase hindi naman gano umulan since June. Nature has to correct the imbalance

[Jun aka Pekto]

Apparently, napaka favorable ng conditions ngayon sa Pacific ocean for the development of new storms. Actually tatlo yung namonitor ng Joint Typhoon Warning Center. One is located just south of Guam, another is just 445 Nautical Miles (NM) east of the first storm, and another potential storm 270 NM south of Kwajalein atoll. Marami pang puwedeng mangyari kasi maari silang maghilahan or mag merge owing to their close proximity with each other.

El Nino year? Stronger, warmer current right where typhoon development occurs and warm water is what fuels typhoons.

2015-2016 is expected to be an El Nino year. Sample:

[Juan Martinez]

El Nino year? Stronger, warmer current right where typhoon development occurs and warm water is what fuels typhoons.

2015-2016 is expected to be an El Nino year. Sample:

el niño brings drought, right? i always wonder why they call it at that when catholics believe the sto. niño bring them good tidings.

[Jun aka Pekto]

el niño brings drought, right? i always wonder why they call it at that when catholics believe the sto. niño bring them good tidings.

El Nino is a warm(er) water current. Typhoon development normally start off the coastal waters of western South America in the same way hurricane development start off the west coast of Africa. Look where that El Nino current is located. Right smack where typhoons first start to develop.

Droughts? That is normally caused by something else.

Edit:

The tropical systems start out as tropical waves. Depending on atmospheric conditions very high up, there may be a Tropical Upper Tropospheric Trough (TUTT) present above the path the tropical waves take. If a tropical wave passes underneath a TUTT, there's a good chance the tropical wave will intensify into a depression/storm/typhoon. With an El Nino year, there is normally an increase in the formation of tropical waves.

[vinj]

Oh well. It's not the first time northern Luzon got slammed.

Looking at Google Maps..... Gee. I wonder why the west coast have many cities while the east coast is sparsely populated? Much greener too.

Weather on the east is more harsh. Accessibility is harder too as you have to cut through the Sierra Madres.

[cast_no_shadow]

How about us peeps in the metro?

Ramdam ba natin ito?


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[Juan Martinez]

take note guys -

PNoy: Be ready for six to 12 hours of intense rain from Lando | News | GMA News Online

[Yatta]

Ang lakas at ang lamig ng hangin dito sa Legaspi. Yung ulan paaambon-ambon lang pero kanina pa umaga di tumitigil.

[Monseratto]

We might see Ondoy type of rains... At least the goverment is taking it seriously...

[170kphlang]

kailan expected landfall niyan sa metro manila?

[Juan Martinez]

Executive Order No. 66, Series of 2012:

EXECUTIVE ORDER NO. 66

PRESCRIBING RULES ON THE CANCELLATION OR SUSPENSION OF CLASSES AND WORK IN GOVERNMENT OFFICES DUE TO TYPHOONS, FLOODING, OTHER WEATHER DISTURBANCES, AND CALAMITIES

WHEREAS, x x x

Section 1. Automatic Cancellation or Suspension of Classes and Work in Government Offices, The following guidelines shall be followed for the automatic cancellation or suspension of classes in all public and private elementary, secondary and tertiary schools, as well as work in all government offices:

a. When Signal No. 1 is raised by PAGASA, classes at the pre-school level, in the affected area, shall be automatically cancelled or suspended.

b. When Signal No. 2 is raised by PAGASA, classes at the pre-school, elementary and secondary levels, in the affected area, shall be automatically cancelled or suspended,

c. When Signal No. 3 or higher is raised by PAGASA, classes at pre-school, elementary, secondary, and tertiary levels, in the affected area, including graduate school, as well as work in all government offices, shall be automatically cancelled or suspended.

The PAGASA shall issue weather forecasts through various media outlets (radio and television), and the NDRRMC, not later than 10:00 PM of the previous day and 4:30 AM of the day of the intended cancellation of classes and work. In cases where there are classes and work in the morning and suspension of classes and work is only effective in the afternoon, PAGASA should issue the forecast not later than 11:00 AM of the said day.

Section 2. Localized Cancellation or Suspension of Classes and Work in Government Offices. In the absence of typhoon signal warnings from PAGASA, localized cancellation or suspension of classes and work in government offices may be implemented by local chief executives, as chairmen of the Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (LDRRMC) concerned, in coordination with PAGASA and the NDRRMC, specifically in flood-prone or high risk areas.

Announcements will be made not later than 4:30 AM of the day of the intended cancellation of classes and work, or not later than 11:00 AM for suspension of work and classes in the afternoon session, through diverse mass media, particularly radio and television, landline communications and other technologies for communication within the community or locality.

Section 3. Cancellation or Suspension of Classes and Work in the Government During Other Calamities. Classes in all levels in both public and private schools as well as work in the government offices may be cancelled or suspended in areas affected by disasters or calamities other than typhoons, such as but not limited to floods, earthquakes, tsunami and conflagration, upon the declaration by the President of a State of Calamity based on the recommendation of the NDRRMC.

The concerned Local Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (LDRRMO) headed by the local chief executive shall be responsible for announcing the suspension of classes and work in the government offices in the affected areas in coordination with the NDRRMC, through all forms of mass media available under the circumstances.

Section 4. Maintenance of Work Force. In the event of cancellation or suspension of work in government offices due to any of the foregoing circumstances, the following government agencies, particularly those directly involved in disaster risk reduction and management, shall maintain the operations of their respective offices to ensure the continuity of the delivery of services to the public:

a. Office of the Executive Secretary

b. Department of National Defense

c. Department of the Interior and Local Government

d. Department of Social Welfare and Development

e. Department of Science and Technology

f. Department of Health

g. Department of Public Works and Highways

h. Department of Education

i. Other agencies whose operations the President or the NDRRMC may deem necessary.

The Heads of Offices of the foregoing agencies shall determine which of their respective divisions or units, particularly those related to disaster risk reduction and management, shall maintain its operations.

Section 5. Report to the President. The NDRRMC chaired by the Secretary of National Defense shall immediately inform the Office of the President, through the Executive Secretary, of the cancellation or suspension of classes and work in government offices in the affected areas.

Section 6. Concurrent Authority. The Office of the President, through the Executive Secretary, shall have concurrent authority with the NDRRMC to cancel or suspend classes and work in government offices in the affected areas.

Section 7. Repeal. All issuances, orders, rules and regulations or parts thereof, inconsistent with this Executive Order are hereby repealed, amended or modified accordingly.

Section 8. Effectivity. This Executive Order shall take effect immediately.

DONE, in the City of Manila, this 9th day of January in the year of our Lord, Two Thousand and Twelve

(Sgd.) BENIGNO S. AQUINO III

By the President:

(Sgd.) PAQUITO N. OCHOA, JR.
Executive Secretary

[Jun aka Pekto]

Weather on the east is more harsh. Accessibility is harder too as you have to cut through the Sierra Madres.

All that beautiful pristine land and the Metro is packed liked sardines.

[CVT]

Raining here in alabang. Not heavy though...

[Monseratto]

Typhoon Lando to make landfall over Aurora-Isabela area between Saturday night & Sunday morning

Signal #1: Metro Manila, Pangasinan, Bulacan, Pampanga, Tarlac, Zambales, Bataan, Rizal, Batangas, Laguna, southern Quezon, Cavite, Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Batanes
Signal #2: northern Quezon, Nueva Vizcaya, Nueva Ecija, La Union, Benguet, Ifugao, Mt. Province, Ilocos Sur, Ilocos Norte, Abra, Apayao, Kalinga, Cagayan including Babuyan & Calayan Group of Islands
Signal #3: Aurora, Quirino, Isabela, Polillo Island

[chua_riwap]

Anak ng......lakas ng hangin ah.
Its 3:13am. Nagising ako.....

Anong signal na ba? Sablay na naman ata Pagasa.