Weather TALK [forecasts, etc]

[Jun aka Pekto]

This loop shows it all. Notice what's going on in China and northeast of the Philippines (actually, more like east of Guam). High pressure center/ridges over both places. If this holds true, Pepeng has nowhere to go but west.

http://wxweb.meteostar.com/cgi-bin/m...K_PRECIP_WINDS

Notice near the end as that High pressure ridge to the east weakens or "deforms" due to a front over Japan, a new tropical system makes that turn north a lot farther away east of the Philippines.