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  1. Join Date
    Sep 2014
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    8,492
    #9741
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    The US economy's last line of defense -- consumer spending

    US households cut back spending on motor vehicles, building materials, hobbies and online purchases
    Nag plateau na ang computer tech, with Apple reach the A13 processors, 3 x more powerful than any Intel or AMD

    And yet wala pa gano nag venture sa 360 , 3D, AR, VR

    Ako gusto Ko facebook page ko papasok friends ko tapos may salas ako trophy toom saka car museum ko.

    Dapat andun na tayo sa speed ng mutti processors, kaya lang mga millennials tamad at reklamador, this generation should push for these techs

    Imagine, pasok ka sa VR room ng BIR or SSS, tapos punta ka sa cabinet M, M as in minicsrph, tapos kuhain ko files ko dun

    Eh wala stargazing millenials sa social media, maybe Gen Z will be a better generation, lost cause na ata millennials

  2. Join Date
    May 2006
    Posts
    1,668
    #9742
    Bulky kasi

    Sent from my ONEPLUS A5000 using Tapatalk

  3. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    25,189

  4. Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Posts
    13,917
    #9744
    ^
    minamalas mga paborito ni cathey ah.

  5. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    25,189
    #9745
    Good thing they hold the world currency... otherwise they would have made a beeline to the IMF...

    U.S. Annual Budget Deficit Nears $1 Trillion With 26% Rise

  6. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9746
    ^^^

    Trump's tax cuts and increased spending = more Treasury issuance

    MASSIVE treasury issuance

    And it's happening at a time when China is reducing its treasury holdings

    So US domestics need to absorb the Treasury supply

    In mid-September repo rates spiked -- meaning banks don't have cash to lend to each other so the Fed had to inject liquidity to bring down rates

    there are lots of explanations out there (like a big bank is in trouble) but i believe it's because US domestics are already saturated with treasuries and they couldn't hold more

    CASH RESERVES ARE LOW

    Primary dealers (the big banks) are obligated to absorb US treasuries

    but the supply is so massive and with China not buying much the banks have run down their reserves

    (banks are required to hold cash reserves -- Basel 3 -- and they're already at the lowest level required)

    They can't absorb more treasuries so the Fed had to step in

    Last edited by uls; October 27th, 2019 at 11:28 AM.

  7. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9747
    they say this is temporary

    you'll come across an acronym TOMO -- temporary open market operations

    but i believe TOMO will become POMO (P for permanent)

    there's not enough liquidity out there to absorb the massive Treasury supply

    the Fed will have to monetize Treasuries

    so basically, the Fed will print money to fund US gov't spending

    that can't be good right?

    the world will lose confidence in the US dollar

    if a 3rd world central bank did the same thing -- like for example the Bangko Sentral prints PHP to fund the PH govt PHP will quickly become play money

    but the US can do this coz the dollar is the #1 currency in the world

    there's no alternative right now

    but that doesn't mean its #1 status will last forever

    i see weaker USD going into 2020
    Last edited by uls; October 27th, 2019 at 11:42 AM.

  8. Join Date
    Sep 2014
    Posts
    8,492
    #9748
    bat ka pa nag doom and gloom uls, kaka discover lang ng Caldera sa tin sa Benham Rise, the biggest supervolcano in the world dormant, pero so rich in natural resources in our backyard

    Yayamanin tayo



    Sa Gen San lang super yaman tayo ng isda, na ineexport sa Japan as sashimi and sushi na dinadadyo naman ng ng Europeans and New Yorkers


  9. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9749
    Quote Originally Posted by minicarph View Post
    bat ka pa nag doom and gloom uls, kaka discover lang ng Caldera sa tin sa Benham Rise, the biggest supervolcano in the world dormant, pero so rich in natural resources in our backyard

    Yayamanin tayo

    i'm thought of not replying to this but here i am replying

    ung mga balita na meron ganito ganyan resources ang Pinas mga ignorante lang ang naiimpress

    "wow mayaman pala ang Pinas!"

    eh ano kung meron natgas, crude oil, whatever ang Pinas

    tapos? wala naman kakayahan mag extract

    kelangan ng tulong ng foreigners

    yun palang natgas/crude oil sa kaluran dagat ng Pinas di makuha kuha

    if you think we're gonna become like those low-corruption resource exporters (example Norway) that wisely use their income to provide free social services like healthcare, education, and other social safety nets... dream on

    if PH were to successfully extract and export resources the best case scenario we're gonna become is Nigeria

    ung Malampaya fund saan napunta?

    ano pa kaya if we're exporting oil

    you think the money will trickle down to the masses?

    you think we're gonna be like Brunei?

    gimme a break

  10. Join Date
    Oct 2012
    Posts
    4,851
    #9750
    parang ang hirap talaga i.ahon ang pinas from 3rd world to a better one... daming corrupt, arrogant, hambog and etc. siguro if mababago sarili natin that’s the time na aasensyo ang pinas... sarili natin ang nag dodown lalo sa pinas...




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  11. Join Date
    Nov 2005
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    45,927
    #9751
    tonight Federal Reserve

    another rate cut likely

    after this the Fed would probably signal a pause

    but i think they'll cut again in early 2020 as they see more evidence of economic weakness

  12. Join Date
    Sep 2003
    Posts
    25,189
    #9752
    Last line of defense...

    Consumers support U.S. economy as business spending slumps - Reuters

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  13. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9753
    dollar reaction to Fed decision




    Fed is focused on their 2% inflation target (that's excluding food and energy)

    looks like they won't reach that target for a long time so there won't be any rate hikes for a loooong time
    Last edited by uls; October 31st, 2019 at 11:44 AM.

  14. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9754
    Quote Originally Posted by uls View Post
    tonight Federal Reserve

    another rate cut likely

    after this the Fed would probably signal a pause

    but i think they'll cut again in early 2020 as they see more evidence of economic weakness

    pause


  15. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9755
    large reduction in dollar long positions


  16. Join Date
    Oct 2002
    Posts
    40,599
    #9756
    Bloomberg - Are you a robot?


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  17. Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Posts
    13,917
    #9757
    Parang ako lang pero ang difference ako fashionalbe.

    Kunyari hindi sila makilala sa mall tapos sabay kami maglakad eh ako ang aabutan ng flyers kasi mukha ako bibili ng condo.



  18. Join Date
    Mar 2008
    Posts
    54,627
    #9758
    Quote Originally Posted by kagalingan View Post
    Parang ako lang pero ang difference ako fashionalbe.

    Kunyari hindi sila makilala sa mall tapos sabay kami maglakad eh ako ang aabutan ng flyers kasi mukha ako bibili ng condo.


    ..that can't be!
    ina-abutan rin ako.
    and i dress lousy, by intent.

  19. Join Date
    Sep 2015
    Posts
    13,917
    #9759
    ^
    doc mukhang pag-galang yan. Parang nagmamano.

  20. Join Date
    Nov 2005
    Posts
    45,927
    #9760
    even if those billionaires wear plain clothes

    as if naman they walk around in public alone

    https://www.cnbc.com/2019/04/12/face...-security.html

    Facebook on Friday announced that it allocated CEO Mark Zuckerberg $20 million for security purposes -- that’s four times what he received for security in 2016.
    so simple ka magdamit ka-level mo agad sila?

    ang feeling naman

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