Weather TALK [forecasts, etc]

[Verbl Kint]

nag storm surge na pala sa catanduanes kanina ahead of the rains.

https://x.com/inquirerdotnet/status/1857670671851204663

Catanduanes is now on Storm Signal No. 5 as per PAGASA.

[Verbl Kint]

The US Navy's Joint Typhoon Warning Center just posted 140 knots (259 kph) sustained wind speeds for Man-yi ("Pepito") and gusts up to 170 knots (315 kph); that puts Pepito at a Category 5 level.

[_Cathy_]

Typhoon Parma (Pepeng) 240 kph daw! Super Typhoon na yun diba? Parang si Milenyo???

[renzo_d10]

I wonder when will storm pepeng directly hit PH. I'm quite nervous about it since cathy said 240kph na daw. More wind and rain.

Today, nagpatikim na.... hard rain + strong wind for like 30 mins.

[testament11]

mahinang ulan palang dito sa valenzuela city. kung magkakatotoo ang forecast nila, sana nga hindi na mag landfall ang bagyo na yan. pero tama sinabi ni cutedoc, ano ba ang dala ng bagyo na yan? baka nga malakas siya, pero puro hangin lang ang dala. eh kung si ondoy nga na mere tropical storm with winds of 85kph, sobrang delubyo dinala sa atin, at tinalo pa si milenyo. in fact, milenyo was nothing compared with ondoy, the small but terrible tropical cyclone...

[_Cathy_]

Kahit na hangin lang yung Pepeng, kung malakas o mas malakas yan may Milenyo malaki pa rin na perwisyo. 2 days kami walang kuryente dahil sa Milenyo. marami rin bahay ang nasira kasi nabagsakan ng mga puno.

[testament11]

tama ka cathy. pero like i said, comparing milenyo and ondyo head to head, mas malakas talaga si milenyo, in terms of wind gustiness lang. pero ang level of damage, eh di hamak naman mas grabe ang ginawa ni ondoy. record breaking nga ang *#$! na bagyo na yun di ba?

well, here comes pepeng... that *#$! may or may not get a landfall based sa mga forecast na ginagawa ng different weather agencies. but who knows... weather changes everytime. lets just brace ourselves for the next one.

[_Cathy_]

Any update on the Super Typhoon?

CNN says it will hit on Friday evening while PAGASA says Saturday afternoon.

[ghosthunter]

http://www.gmanews.tv/story/203727/t...on-in-the-dark

[SIZE="4"]Typhoon Juan leaves many in Northern Luzon in the dark[/SIZE]
10/18/2010 | 06:38 PM

Updated 10:30 a.m., Oct. 19 - The strongest typhoon in four years roared through Northern Luzon Monday and plunged entire provinces into a state of darkness and silent cell phones. Damage to infrastructure knocked out power and telecommunications, hampering efforts to reach loved ones in the eye of tropical cyclone Juan, which left 7 people dead and nine people injured.

After devastating parts of Northern Luzon on Monday, super typhoon "Juan" (international name: Megi) moved toward the South China Sea on Tuesday but not before bringing rains to Metro Manila and other parts of Luzon.

The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Metro Manila and Central Luzon can expect rains from "Juan" for Tuesday.

"Yung circulation ng bagyong 'Juan' may kalakihan, kaya kahit papaalis si 'Juan,' ang pinakabuntot niya kasama ang Metro Manila, halos umabot pa ... Asahan natin ang kalakhang Manila makakaranas ng pag-ulan at bugso ng hangin," PAGASA forecaster Buddy Javier said in an interview on dzBB radio.

(The circulation of 'Juan' is rather wide. Its tail end is affecting Metro Manila, so we can expect more rains and winds.)

Javier said their projections indicate that "Juan" may not exit Philippine territory until at least Wednesday night or Thursday morning.

Communication problems

Smart Communications, a telecommunications company, reported that its services in Isabela and Cagayan were affected by the typhoon but claimed a 95-percent service restoration those areas by 5:30 p.m. on Monday.

Smart said it sent to the affected areas generators and fuel good for five days.

Globe Telecoms, on the other hand, reported that 115 base stations (2G), 33 nodes (3G) and two WIMAX sites in Ilocos, Cagayan Valley and Cordillera were affected by the typhoon.

Sun Cellular reported that its 52 sites were down in Cagayan Valley due to power outages and strong winds. The local telephone network was also down.

The National Telecommunications Commission (NTC) ordered public telecommunication entities to make available technical personnel on a 24/7 basis and to provide sufficient standby generators with enough fuel.


"Juan" has left seven people dead and nine others injured on Tuesday morning, a day after it made landfall in Northern Luzon.

In its 6:00 a.m. report, the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (NDRRMC) said the latest fatality, Andres Realina, 36, of Irisan, Baguio City, died after being pinned down by a tree.

NDRRMC executive director Benito Ramos said the other fatalities were from Pangasinan.

“Pito na ngayon ang confirmed dead, apat sa Pangasinan ... Kagabi namatay pero ngayon na-recover ang katawan. Ang isa tinamaan ng kidlat sa Mangatarem, patay. Ang tatlo sa San Fabian caused by falling tree ," he said in an interview on dzBB radio.

(Seven have been confirmed dead, four of them in Pangasinan. One was hit by lightning in Mangatarem while three were killed after a tree fell on their house in San Fabian.)

Nine persons injured

The NDRRMC said at least nine people were injured, including:
# Joseph Sabben, 5, Sta. Ana, Cagayan, hit by fallen live wire;
# Two women hit by collapsed glass wall in Tuguegarao City;
# Two DPWH personnel hit by collapsed LTO wall in Solana, Cagayan;
# Joanna Marie Respicio, 1, Rizal, Kalinga;
# Abner Riponiar, 29, Baguio City;
# Antonio Mendoza Jr., 49, Tabuk, Kalinga, and
# Maribeth Lumawig, 29, Pinukpuk, Kalinga.

Impassable roads

Several key roads were closed, adding to the feeling of desolate isolation. Early indications are that government appeared more prepared and determined than usual, applying forced evacuation in vulnerable areas that prevented even more deaths. But government could not prevent widespread fear and even terror caused by howling winds in the dead of night.

As of Tuesday, the roads that are still impassable were:
Daang Maharlika from Tuguegarao City to Cauayan City, not passable
due to fallen trees and electric posts;
# Apayao-Ilocos Norte Road, Marnas Bridge, Tanglagan Section;
# Lenneng-Cabugao Road closed due to landslides;
# Apayao-Ilocos Norte Road, saddle section closed due to swelling of
Maranas River;
# Rabaw Section Km 72 closed due to fallen trees;
# Mt. Province Boundary-Calanan Road Bannagao Section, due to soil and
rock slides;
# Mt. Province Boundary-Calanan Road Dallimono Section;
# Mt. Province-Ilocos Sur Road via Tue; Mt. Province-Cagayan via
Tabuk-Enrile Road, Makutiti in Ampawilen, Sadanga; and Mamaga,
Sadanga, closed due to landslides;
# Baguio-Bontoc Road, Gonogon Section, closed due to landslides;
# Banaue-Mayoyao Road, Km 483-040, Km 483+080, Km 407 Saddle-Golongan
Section, closed due to landslides;
# Manila North Road in Sagayaden, Cabugao, Ilocos Sur;
# Claveria-Calanasan Road, Mabanong Section;
# Benguet Dalupirip Itogon and Nueva Vizcaya-Benguet Road;
# Kennon Road

Power failure

GMANews.TV editor Jun Verzola reported from Baguio that as of 5am Tuesday morning, "Baguio still under total power outage, strong winds still batter the city, even as typhoon 'Juan' begins its exit."

He also relayed an announcement by the local power company in Ifugao that the province was suffering from a 100 percent power outage.

According to the NDRRMC, power failures have been experienced in the following areas:
Cordillera;
Cagayan;
Ilocos Norte;
Ilocos Sur;
Isabela, and
La Union.

On the other hand, some 1,271 people were stranded in major ports as of 4 p.m., including 792 in Manila and 300 in Batangas.

At least 274 passengers were also reported stranded at seaports in Batangas; Puerto Real, Quezon; and Santa Ana, Isabela.

Impassable roads

The agency said the roads rendered impassable included:


* Manila North Road at Sagayaden village in Cabugao (Ilocos Sur), one lane passable;
* Benguet-Dalupirip, Itogon and Nueva Vizcaya-Benguet Road, closed due to slides;
* Claveria-Calanasan Road Mabanong Section in Apayao, closed to traffic;
* Lenning-Cabugao Road in Apayao closed due to slides;
* Calanan boundary Calaan Road Bannagao Section, Dalimono section in Mountain Province, one lane closed due to slides;

Halsema Highway in the Cordillera region remained open, the NDRRMC said.

A separate report by radio dzBB said Kennon Road was impassable but the Marcos Highway remained open as an alternate route.

[ghosthunter]

http://www.gmanews.tv/story/203753/3...serviced-areas

[SIZE="4"]3-hour rotating brownouts loom in Meralco-serviced areas[/SIZE]
10/19/2010 | 09:23 AM


No thanks to problems with two major power plants in Luzon, three-hour rotating brownouts loom over serviced areas of Manila Electric Co. (Meralco) Tuesday.

Meralco spokesperson Dina Lomotan said the brownouts are due to the shutdown of Sual 1 in Pangasinan and problems with the power plant in Masinloc in Zambales.

"Ito ang nakita nating deficiency kaya maghanda for more or less three hours rotational brownout (There will be a deficiency of power so subscribers will have to prepare for three hours' rotational brownouts)," Lomotan said in an interview on dzBB radio.

She noted Sual 1 alone generates some 647 megawatts.

Lomotan said residential and commercial customers may experience rotating brownouts between 8 a.m. and 6 p.m.

Industrial customers may experience brownouts between 7 and 10 p.m., she added.

Meralco's serviced areas include Metro Manila, Rizal, Bulacan, Cavite, Laguna, Quezon, Batangas, and Pampanga. — RSJ, GMANews.TV

[ghosthunter]

http://www.gmanews.tv/story/203757/d...n-metro-manila

[SIZE="4"]
DepEd suspends afternoon classes in Metro Manila[/SIZE]
10/19/2010 | 10:34 AM


The Department of Education (DepEd) on Tuesday suspended afternoon classes in the preschool, elementary and high school levels in public and private schools.

DepEd Metro Manila officer-in-charge Elena Ruiz said this stemmed from the recommendation of the National Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council.

"By recommendation of the NDRMMC, ang DepEd NCR ay nag-a-announce ng suspension of classes by noontime today Oct. 19 in preschool, elementary and high school levels for public and private schools," she said in an interview on dzBB radio.

(By recommendation of the NDRMMC, the DepEd NCR has announced the suspension of classes by noontime in preschool, elementary and high school levels in private and public schools)

She said those with inquiries may call:
0917 842 5930, or
0918 979 0805.

Earlier, the NDRMMC recommended the suspension of classes in Metro Manila and Rizal province due to strong winds and heavy rains from typhoon “Juan" (Megi).

Radio dzBB’s Benjie Liwanag Jr. reported that NDRRMC executive director Benito Ramos made the recommendation to Malacañang on Tuesday morning.

The report quoted Ramos as saying it would be better to suspend classes and be “wrong" if the weather improves, if only to achieve “zero casualty."

On Monday night, Malacañang suspended work in Ilocos, Cagayan Valley and Cordillera, the regions hit hardest by then super-typhoon “Juan."

Super typhoon "Juan" (international name: Megi) moved toward the South China Sea on Tuesday but not before bringing rains to Metro Manila and other parts of Luzon.

The Philippine Atmospheric Geophysical and Astronomical Services Administration (PAGASA) said Metro Manila and Central Luzon can expect rains from "Juan" for Tuesday.

"Yung circulation ng bagyong 'Juan' may kalakihan, kaya kahit papaalis si 'Juan,' ang pinakabuntot niya kasama ang Metro Manila, halos umabot pa ... Asahan natin ang kalakhang Manila makakaranas ng pag-ulan at bugso ng hangin," PAGASA forecaster Buddy Javier said in an interview on dzBB radio.

(The circulation of 'Juan' is rather wide. Its tail end is affecting Metro Manila, so we can expect more rains and winds.)

Javier said their projections indicate that "Juan" may not exit Philippine territory until at least Wednesday night or Thursday morning.

"Ang projected na labas niya siguro mga bukas ng gabi o Huwebes ng umaga (The projected exit of 'Juan' is Wednesday night or Thursday morning)," he said.

DepEd added that classes may be suspended in other provinces with public storm signals, depending on the decision of the local government and local DepEd superintendent. –with Candice Montenegro, VVP, GMANews.TV

[Monseratto]

Naku, category 4 storm heading for a densely populated city isn't good...



http://www.businessweek.com/news/201...for-china.html

Oct. 19 (Bloomberg) -- Typhoon Megi, which left at least 10 people dead as it crossed the Philippines yesterday, strengthened as it churned over the South China Sea on a path to Hong Kong, the U.S. Navy Joint Typhoon Warning Center said.

The projected path has recently been fluctuating and the Joint Typhoon Warning Center has shifted Megi's second landfall toward the city of Hong Kong (population: 7 million) in southeastern China.

The storm, which made landfall as a supertyphoon on Luzon’s northeast coast yesterday before weakening over land, was about 350 kilometers (220 miles) northwest of Manila and 780 kilometers southeast of Hong Kong at 2 p.m. local time, the U.S. Navy said. Megi’s winds increased to 185 kilometers per hour and the storm was moving west-northwest at 11 kph.

Megi’s winds are forecast to strengthen to 213 kph as it crosses the South China Sea. That would make it a Category 4 storm on the five-step Saffir-Simpson scale, capable of “catastrophic damage,” according to the U.S. National Hurricane Center. Megi may hit Hong Kong within three days, the U.S. Navy tracking map shows.

[renzo_d10]

http://www.gmanews.tv/story/203753/3...serviced-areas

Nagtext yung meralco sakin about that around 2PM that there will be a tentative 3-hour rotating brownout here in my place, Quezon City, from 4:01-7:00pm. However, at around 4:40pm, meralco canceled their plan since according to them, the power was sufficient enough for the community ...

[Monseratto]

Hopefully it would curve northward...

http://www.gmanews.tv/story/221211/n...saturday-night

[size=2]PAGASA: Incoming cyclone may enter PHL Saturday night[/size]
05/21/2011 | 07:39 AM

A tropical cyclone that looms as the herald of the rainy season this year may enter the Philippine area of responsibility as early as Saturday night, state weather forecasters said.

Science Department Undersecretary Graciano Yumul Jr. said the cyclone might move towards Northeast Luzon and directly affect parts of the country starting next week.

“(Maaring) papasok ang cyclone mamayang gabi o bukas ng umaga sa Philippine Area of Responsibility... Magta-traverse siya dikit sa northeast Luzon," Yumul said in an interview on dzRH radio.

He said the cyclone, which will be codenamed “Chedeng" once in Philippine territory, is still gaining strength and will likely enhance the southwest monsoon.

Yumul said the cyclone is likely to affect the western seaboard including Metro Manila, bringing rains to these areas, and it might also usher in the rainy season.

According to him, there is “strong possibility" the cyclone could be among the most most powerful cyclones to hit the country this year.

[DeathRow]

^ I heard this is a big one. Peaking at Cat 3.

[shadow]

Finally magagamit nanaman ang gen set, need to buy gas later just in case

[greenlyt]

maliwanag na ulit dito sa ayala, wala na rin kulog

[Ry_Tower]

dahil dito daw yan.

[desert fox]

^ nyahaha...kumusta naman ang lagay ng panahon sa bandang Bicol at this time?

Nag-aalala kasi yung nag-aalaga sa baby ko....

[Monseratto]

Nice weather tonight, somewhat clear sky with patches of clouds.