Hindi gumagalaw puno dito sa BGC. Strange. Calm before the storm?

Forwarded update:
there has been a reversal in the projected track between GFS and ECMWF in that GFS now expects a much weakened Typhoon Rolly to move up to MM whereas the ECMWF expects Typhoon Rolly to transit without change as earlier projected :

Here is the revised track of Typhoon Rolly under the GFS Model.

November 1 (Sunday)

5:00pm San Pablo
6:00pm Calamba
7:00pm Between Calamba and Santa Rosa
8:00pm Crossing Laguna Lake, makes landfall in Taguig
9:00pm Makati / Manila / San Juan / Quezon City
10:00pm Exits to Manila Bay through Navotas
11:00pm Landfall in Balanga and Abucay, Bataan
12:00am Between Morong and Subic/Olongapo
1:00am Exits to West Philippines Sea from Olongapo
2:00am Now at sea off Olongapo (will regain strength)

During its transit from 5:00pm in San Pablo through Calamba and Santa Rosa, Typhoon Rolly is greatly weakened but wind gusts of up to 80-90kph is expected until it makes landfall in Taguig where wind gust of up 60-80kph is expected. The same wind strength of 60-80kph wind gust is expected as Typhoon Rolly transits into Makati/Manila/San Juan/QC until it exists to Manila Bay through Navotas.

It is very likely that this very precise path I described will still change a bit. I will provide an early afternoon update that will finally fix the final forecasted path of Typhoon Rolly under the GFS Model.

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