New Tropical Storm Spotted!

[Hanren]

I spotted a new tropical storm. Maybe "it might" hit us again in the coming days ..if it doesn't change course. It is still over Yap island..


262100Z POSITION NEAR 10.7N 139.9E.
TROPICAL STORM (TS) 24W (DURIAN), LOCATED APPROXIMATELY
160 NM EAST-NORTHEAST OF YAP, HAS TRACKED WEST-NORTHWEST-
WARD AT 12 KNOTS OVER THE PAST SIX HOURS. MAXIMUM SIGNIF-
ICANT WAVE HEIGHT AT 261800Z IS 22 FEET. NEXT WARNINGS AT
270300Z, 270900Z, 271500Z AND 272100Z

[1D4LV]

ano kaya magiging effect nung north cold wave? itutulak kaya nya ito pababa? o lulusawin kaya nya ito?

[Hanren]

Usually tinutulak niya ito pababa kaya napapansin nyo every time na may bagyo sa november-december eh pa west and movement niya. Hopefully bigyan na lang nya tayo ng sapat na ulan para sa mga dams natin.. wag naman sa lakas ng hanging idaan..

[space invader]

parang hindi ko dama ang lamig ng pasko ngayon.. dati mga october-november medyo malamig sa labas kapag gabi.. sobrang init ngyon..

[Hanren]

Dito po sa Baguio parang summer. Dati pag November na medyo kumakapal na mga suot naming jacket. Ngayon nga kahit di ka magjacket mainit pa rin. Epekto siguro ito ng El Nino....Nung may Bagyo (Queenie) wala man lang hangin..hmmm..ni ulan tipid din and to think na signal number 3 kami at that time. something weird must be going on...

[AnuVaYan]

sana umulan ng malakas, para madagdagan ang tubig sa mga dam tapos magkaroon na kami ng tubig! kung pwede lang ma i direct ang ulan sa mga dams para yung mga bahain ay hindi naman ma perhuwisyo.

[Hanren]

Sana nga. Kelangan talaga natin ng Bagyo ngayon lalo na may balitang nira ration ang tubig in preparation for El Nino.. btw, here's another update of the forecast track from the Joint typhoon warning center.

[space invader]

sana nga at dumaan maski papano ang bagyo d2 para man lang malagyan ng tubig ang mga dam at medyo lumamig ang klima.. miss ko na mag jacket pag december eh.. ehehehehe..

[bongliza]

This might be the effect of El Nino this year. Hope the coming Low Pressure will bring us much H2O.

[LHV]

Sir Hanren

Saan po kayo nakuha ng news, na check ko na po Pagasa at accuweather
Facilities po kasi ako dito sa plant namin para makapag prepare ng maaga

Bale yung mga may emergency light at flash lights i ready na po, tsaka kung may moving signs na or light objects sa perimeter ng bahay or Company nyo itabi nyo muna baka madala maging missile papuntang bahay, pati po yung madaling bahain, i ready nyo na yung pang lift ng tsikot at mahirap po maglinins ng carpet ng oto pag nalubog

[Hanren]

Mga sir heto yung mga sites na puwede tignan for further updates :

http://metocph.nmci.navy.mil/jtwc.html (sa guam po ito-joint typhoon warning center, medyo accurate yung mga predictions nila kasi based on analysis of weather simulation models)

or

http://cimss.ssec.wisc.edu/tropic/re...m/storm11.html

medyo malayo pa and anything can still happen (it might change course, intensify, or dissipate, the latter being unlikely) but it is better to be prepared.. it might be 4-5 days away..di pa kasi nai bubulletin ng pagasa ito kasi wala pa sa area of responsibility ng pinas..maybe by weds meron na advisory...

[gearspeed]

parang hindi ko dama ang lamig ng pasko ngayon.. dati mga october-november medyo malamig sa labas kapag gabi.. sobrang init ngyon..

Oo nga ang init na kapag gabi lalamig lang kapag madaling araw na.

[johnart]

malakas pala ito mag ingat at maghanda tayo. Sana di tumama at humina nalang ito.


Typhoon2000 STORM UPDATE #003
Name: TROPICAL STORM DURIAN [24W/0621]
Issued: 7:00 AM MANILA TIME (23:00 GMT) MON 27 NOVEMBER 2006
Next Update: 7:00 PM (23:00 GMT) MON 27 NOVEMBER 2006
Source: JTWC TROPICAL CYCLONE WARNING #005
__________________________________________________ _____________________

TROPICAL STORM DURIAN (24W) HAS STRENGHTENED OVERNIGHT WHILE
TRACKING WEST-NORTHWEST INTO THE PHILIPPINE SEA.

...All interests in the Samar, Bicol and Quezon Provinces
should closely monitor the progress of this potential typhoon.
The Philippine local disaster units must be on alert status
beginning today as this system might become a dange-
rous Typhoon similar to Super Typhoons ANGELA (ROSING) [Nov 3,
1995] & NINA (SISANG) [Nov 26, 1987].

+ FORECAST OUTLOOK: DURIAN is expected to continue moving
West to WNW, becoming a Typhoon within the next 24 hours. It
is likely to enter the Philippine Area of Responsibility (PAR)
early tomorrow morning, Nov 28 and will be named locally by
PAGASA as "REMING." The 3 to 5-day (Nov 30-Dec 02) Long-range
forecast shows the system growing into an extremely dangerous
Category 4 Typhoon (230 km/hr), passing over the Northern
Coasts of Catanduanes and Caramoan Peninsula in Bicol Region
by Thursday morning, Nov 30 (approx. from 8 AM to 2 PM local
time) - with a close distance of 100 km to the NE of Naga City.
This system is forecast to reach Super Typhoon strength (240
kph) prior to landfall in between Infanta, Quezon & Baler,
Aurora by early Friday morning (3 PM Dec 01) and cross Central
Luzon the whole of day of Dec 1. DURIAN shall be off the coast
of Pangasinan early Saturday morning, Dec 2.

+ EFFECTS: The storm's circulation now affecting Ulithi and
Yap Islands. Passing showers accompanied with gale-force winds
to prevail across these islands today. Improving weather condi-
tions shall be expected tomorrow as the storm moves away from
the area.

Important Note: Please keep in mind that the above forecast
outlook, effects & current monsoon intensity, and tropical
cyclone watch changes every 06 to 12 hours!
__________________________________________________ _____________________

TIME/DATE: 5:00 AM MANILA TIME (21:00 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER
LOCATION OF CENTER: LATITUDE 10.7º N...LONGITUDE 139.9º E
DISTANCE 1: 610 KM (330 NM) WSW OF HAGATNA, GUAM, CNMI
DISTANCE 2: 245 KM (133 NM) NE OF COLONIA, YAP, FSM

DISTANCE 3: 1,585 KM (855 NM) ESE OF BORONGAN, E. SAMAR
DISTANCE 4: 1,845 KM (995 NM) ESE OF NAGA CITY
MAX SUSTAINED WINDS [1-MIN AVG]: 85 KM/HR (40 KTS)
PEAK WIND GUSTS: 100 KM/HR (55 KTS)
SAFFIR-SIMPSON SCALE: N/A
MINIMUM CENTRAL PRESSURE (est.): 991 MILLIBARS (hPa)
RECENT MOVEMENT: WNW * 22 KM/HR (12 KTS)
GENERAL DIRECTION: PHILIPPINE SEA
STORM'S SIZE (IN DIAMETER): 335 KM (180 NM)/SMALL/AVERAGE
MAX WAVE HEIGHT**: 22 FEET (6.7 METERS)
VIEW TRACKING MAP: 5 AM PST MON NOVEMBER 27
TSR WIND PROBABILITIES: CURRENT TO 120 HRS LEAD
PHILIPPINE STORM SIGNALS*: N/A

12, 24 & 48 HR. FORECAST:
2 PM (06 GMT) 27 NOV: 11.1N 138.0E / 100-130 KPH / W * 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 28 NOV: 11.6N 135.5E / 120-150 KPH / W * 24 KPH
2 AM (18 GMT) 29 NOV: 12.6N 130.0E / 185-230 KPH / WNW * 24 KPH

REMARKS: 2 AM (18 GMT) 27 NOVEMBER POSITION: 10.6N 140.5E.
^TS Durian continues to track west-northwestward along the
periphery of a low to mid-level (850-700 mb) ridge anchored
to the north. Durian will transition to a deeper steering
layer as it intensifies, and thus will come under the in-
fluence of a 500 mb ridge currently anchored to the north-
west of the system. The 500 mb anticyclone is forecast to
build as it drifts slowly eastward during the forecast pe-
riod, and will keep Durian on a west-northwestward track
through 72 hours. Despite favorable outflow, deep convection
associated with Durian has decreased over the past 12 hours,
and has only recently begun to re-develop over the low level
circulation center in the past several hours. Convection is
forecast to continue consolidating in an environment of low
to moderate vertical wind shear and very favorable diver-
gence aloft. TS Durian is forecast to intensify at a greater
than climatological rate through through 72 hours...(more info)

>> DURIAN {pronounced: door~yan}, meaning: Favourite fruit of
Thai people (Durio zibethinus). Name contributed by: Thailand

[XTO]

base sa direction, aurora provice will again be hit.

[chevy_xlx]

Bro.salamat sa update mo 2ngkol d2 atlis makakapag handa n ung mga kababayan natin sa anumang pwedeng mangyari at kelangan p ma advice yung iba nating kababayan sa Pinas..

[CVT]

Durian is expected to hit land by Nov30-Dec1.

Ingat lang tayo. Malakas ang bagyong ito.... approximately 200KPH


:starwars:

[RMean]

buti naman uulan din.. ang init init!!

[ownertype]

Kung nakapagkabit na kayo ng xmas decorations and lights, tanggalin niyo muna baka liparin.

[shadow]

san ang exact na dadaanan?

[Negus]