Nag-iba na Comelec at Namfrel Results?

**pup2** · May 21st, 2007 11:31 PM

Mas ahead ang Namfrel sa bilangan (siyempre). Pareho naman sila sa umpisa na 8-2-2. Pero ngayon 8-2-2 pa din sa Namfrel samantalang 6-4-2 na sa Comelec (as I predicted in another topic)? Umpisa na ba ng gapangan? Sana naman tapusin ng Namfrel ang inumpisahan nila unlike before na hindi pa tapos ay tumigil na. Kailangan ng Pinoy ng katotohanan at hustisya !!

**oldblue** · May 22nd, 2007 12:16 AM

depende naman siguro kung ano probinsya inuna nila. let's wait na lang kung mag-tally yun dalawa in the end.

**j_avonni** · May 22nd, 2007 08:31 AM

Ilang percent na ba ang na-canvass?

**mazdamazda** · May 22nd, 2007 12:07 PM

Errr... talagang may discrepancy yan since iba iba ang source nila or yung binibilang na provinces.

**XTO** · May 22nd, 2007 01:07 PM

posible

kung wala sana silang history ng pandaraya noon.

**fourtheboys96** · May 22nd, 2007 04:00 PM

Originally Posted by pup2

Mas ahead ang Namfrel sa bilangan (siyempre). Pareho naman sila sa umpisa na 8-2-2. Pero ngayon 8-2-2 pa din sa Namfrel samantalang 6-4-2 na sa Comelec (as I predicted in another topic)? Umpisa na ba ng gapangan? Sana naman tapusin ng Namfrel ang inumpisahan nila unlike before na hindi pa tapos ay tumigil na. Kailangan ng Pinoy ng katotohanan at hustisya !!

sa survey before the election 6-4-2 ata yung lumabas so medjo consistent pa din naman kung yun ang pagbabasehan. although pwede pa magbago kasi meron statistical error yung survey di ba.

**niky** · May 22nd, 2007 04:12 PM

Huge statistical error. Surveys are often only done in limited areas, and can't match the millions of respondents who aren't available for surveying.

http://eleksyon2007a.inquirer.net/tally.htm

From the current tally, doesn't seem like a huge difference... yet.

**pup2** · May 22nd, 2007 04:39 PM

Gusto ko lang tapusin ng NAMFREL yung results unlike before kasi I have a nagging suspicion na talagang 8-2-2 or 7-3-2 ang score at hindi 6-4-2. Yung Maguindanao result alone could affect 1 or 2 places. Mabuti NAMFREL decided to discard it. AFAIK, doon pa lang, hindi na sila tally.

**vhenok** · May 23rd, 2007 10:51 AM

It doesn't matter, anyway, partial pa lang naman. Basta importante dapat mag-meet sila sa Final. Otherwise, hhhmmmmm!

**fourtheboys96** · May 23rd, 2007 11:45 AM

Originally Posted by niky

Huge statistical error. Surveys are often only done in limited areas, and can't match the millions of respondents who aren't available for surveying.

http://eleksyon2007a.inquirer.net/tally.htm

From the current tally, doesn't seem like a huge difference... yet.

+or- 3% of statistical error, personally i think is not huge.

regarding the "millions who were not included in the survey", it is impossible to include all registered voters in a survey that is why we have the thing called sampling. this is an accepted method in research and surveys. if sampling and the actual survey IS DONE PROPERLY, it can accurately predict the outcome of the election.

with regards to sample size of around 2,500 to 3,000 - maybe the statisticians here can tell us if its is enough.

anyway, accdg to some people in UP Diliman, SWS and Pulse Asia have been quite accurate in their predictions in the past elections.