2010 Presidential Elections (new poll)

[boybi]

Here's the new list of Presidential candidates for the 2010 Elections. Nuisance and unknown candidates are not included.

Benigno Simeon 'Noynoy' C. Aquino III
Joseph 'Erap' M. Estrada Ejercito
Richard 'Dick' J. Gordon
Jamby As. Madrigal
Gilberto 'Gibo' C. Teodoro Jr.
Eduardo 'Bro. Eddie' C. Villanueva
Manuel 'Manny' B. Villar Jr.

Post here if anyone thinks of other qualified candidates that have filed their CoCs with the Comelec should be included in this poll.

Full list of presidential candidates HERE

Previous discussions on the same topic can be found HERE

[Jun aka Pekto]

Any idea on each one's accomplishments that benefited the public?

I mean reserving judgment on attitude and public relations, these candidates must have a list of their accomplishments.

[ajOT]

tns for the new poll to TS

[jonski]

kapag hindi ABS-CBN ang nag survey or tv station na bias ay medyo ok ang resulta

Teodoro leads in Facebook’s election poll
The Manila Times
Monday, 30 November 2009 00:00

The administration’s presidential candidate appeared to be consolidating his lead over the so-called thinking class, according to a statement released on Sunday. “It’s no surprise that Lakas-Kampi CMD [Christian Muslim Democrats] presidential candidate Gilberto ‘Gibo’ Teodoro Jr. is making his presence felt with the online crowd and has placed first in a simulated election on a popular online social networking site,” the statement said.
The statement was referring to the Facebook survey “Election 2010,” billed as “a simulation for the Philippine 2010 Presidential Election.”

The Facebook poll shows Teodoro pulling away from his closest contender, Sen. Benigno “Noynoy” Aquino 3rd. Aquino, however, leads the conventional surveys conducted by the Social Weather Stations (SWS) and Pulse Asia.

As of noon on Sunday, Teodoro continued to hold first place in the ongoing Facebook poll with 58.41 percent followed by Aquino (31.76 percent) and Sen. Manuel “Manny” Villar Jr. (7.10 percent) of the Nacionalista Party. In conventional surveys, Villar was running second among the presidential contenders.

Facebook’s Election 2010, which has no political affiliation, said that its round three of mock voting started on November 23, 2009 and was to end at 11:59 p.m. on Sunday.

The mock polls dropped Sen. Francis “Chiz” Escudero from the among the options, since he has withdrawn from next year’s presidential race, leaving bar topnotcher Teodoro as the lone lawyer among the leading presidential candidates.

Earlier rounds

Aquino had dominated the first two rounds of the online poll.

But during the second round (November 16 to 22), Teodoro shadowed Aquino, the statement said. They were followed by Villar, Escudero, former President Joseph Estrada and former Public Works Sec. Hermogenes Ebdane. Like Escudero, Ebdane withdrew his Palace bid on Sunday.

In poll’s first round, the results of which were announced on November 15, Teodoro was tied with Villar for third place. Aquino was first, followed by Escudero.

The statement, citing Teodoro supporters, said that the latest results were “hardly surprising.”

Ryan del Rosario, in comment posted on Facebook, wrote, “Intelligent voters will really pick Gibo.” He added, “Gibo Teodoro’s campaign is based on positive change, solutions, track records, decency and competency.”

In another posted comment also by a certain Ringo N Cielo Perezi, “Amongst the presidentiables, I think he [Teodoro] is the only one that can deliver what he says . . . he looks sincere and intelligent to me.”

Agent of change

The Lakas-Kampi statement said that Teodoro remains as the candidate with the strongest qualifications in terms of education, competence and preparation for the presidency with a name untainted by controversy.

“We are not surprised by the outcome of this poll, because we have always known that the youth who are looking for change in this election can spot those who can be agents of change,” said Gov. Miguel Rene Dominguez of Saranggani province, also Lakas-Kampi national president.

“We have known all along that only our candidate Gibo has the brilliance, the clean track record and the vision to bring progress to this country,” Dominguez added. “We are happy that the young, smart and computer savvy netizens see in Gibo the leader that the country desperately needs.”

In the Philippines, Internet users number around 15 to 20 million and account for 28 percent of the 35 million urban population, according to the statement, adding that about 70 percent of the Internet users are between 10 and 29 years old. Most of the users (71 percent) get online at Internet cafes, and more than half (51 percent) visit a social networking site, such as Facebook, the statement added.

Also, about 1 in 3 Filipino Internet users have a blog, while about 63 percent of the Yahoo e-mail contacts in the Philippines live abroad, according to the statement.
The Manila Times

[mrpink]

Other views on the Facebook results.

The Long View
The perils of mock elections

By Manuel L. Quezon III
Philippine Daily Inquirer
First Posted 22:15:00 12/02/2009

Filed Under: Eleksyon 2010, Elections, Politics

BOTH Belinda Oliveras-Cunanan and Bobit S. Avila are entranced by what Cunanan considers Gilbert Teodoro’s “surging” in a Facebook (FB) “survey” of presidential candidates, with Avila asserting that the FB results are superior to those of surveys done by Pulse Asia or Social Weather Stations. The only problem is that their excitement stems from a lack of comprehension of what is going on.

There is no FB survey. Avila in particular seems to believe it is FB itself that has taken it upon itself to start tracking opinion with regard to the candidates for the Philippine presidency. As an active FB user, I think this is a disservice to FB, to those who have created applications related to the 2010 campaign, to the candidates, and to the broader public.

What Cunanan and Avila referred to in their columns, and what was reported in various news stories, is an application, and if you go to the Election2010 page on FB, it very clearly says, “this application was not developed by Facebook.”

The Election2010 application isn’t a survey application. It is an ongoing effort, over multiple rounds, to periodically undertake mock elections. The Round 1 results were published on Sunday, Nov. 15: Aquino 48.48 percent; Escudero 24.24 percent; Teodoro 12.12 percent; Villar 12.12 percent; Estrada 3.03 percent. Round 2 started on Monday, Nov. 16 and lasted until Sunday, Nov. 22, 11:59 p.m. and its results were: Aquino 47.59 percent; Teodoro 25.13 percent; Villar 13.37 percent; Escudero 11.76 percent; Estrada 2.14 percent. Round 3 started on Monday, Nov. 23, 2009 and lasted until Sunday, Nov. 29, at 11:59 p.m. with the following results: Teodoro 58.69 percent; Aquino 31.90 percent; Villar 6.79 percent; Estrada 1.07 percent; Escudero 0.83 percent; Ebdane 0.71 percent. As of this writing, Round 4 was ongoing and Teodoro has 63.40 percent, Aquino 28.41 percent, Villar 6.82 percent, Estrada 1.36 percent.

The experiment has, at its core, only those who are aware of, and use, the application. You have to know about it, and install it, and authorize it, in order to use it. Also, the experiment does not report the actual votes, only percentages. Therefore those who want to make sense of the results have no means of finding out how many people participated in each round of voting.

The Election2010 page reports the following statistics: It has 1,605 active users, which means this is more or less the active voting population that participates in each round of the mock polls. It has 43 friends, and 395 fans. The active users represents the largest potential voting population for the application; but it could also mean 1,600 people are the total voters for what is now four rounds, not the total voters for each round. We have to extrapolate what the voting population might be, without being able to answer how many actually vote in any given round, and what’s more, since the application is open for sharing, whether the boosters of any particular candidate can inflate the results for their candidate by swarming the application during each round.

For a comparison of how online surveys can and ought to be reported, the Definitely Filipino Facebook page has 400,000 fans, making for a much larger potential voting population. On Dec. 2, a mock poll was put up using the PollDaddy.com application. The results as of 1:26 p.m. on Dec. 2 were: Aquino 54 percent (268 votes); Teodoro 19 percent (94 votes); Villar 14 percent (68 votes), Gordon 5 percent (23 votes), Villanueva 3 percent (17 votes), Estrada 3 percent (13 votes), Fernando 2 percent (12 votes), Madrigal one percent (1 vote)—a total of 496 votes out of a potential vote pool of 400,000. If you’re not on Facebook you can access the mock poll and its results at: http://fbfilipino.wordpress.com/ 2009/12/02/mock-poll/. This points to something Election2010 can do in terms of the ongoing development of the application: it can break down actual votes, so that people who participate and view the results, or who report on the results, can determine the actual number of voters per round, and the breakdown per candidate.

One thing is sure: Neither the 2010 FB application nor the ongoing voting in the Truly Filipino page has ever claimed to be surveys. Both are mock polls. They are not based on random sampling of the population, they are based on whoever runs across, or hears about, the mock polls and decides to join them. And both, by the very nature of Facebook, rely on limited populations—not even the total potential voting population, spread across multiple pages, of the various candidates.

A comparison to the active fan base of the candidates is useful at this point. In Facebook, most of the candidates have fan pages where their supporters congregate and share information and opinions among themselves. For the major candidates who have official fan pages (pages they have endorsed or accredited), here are the numbers: Aquino—109,349; Villar—38,261; Escudero (now dropped out of the race)—13,098; Teodoro—7,743; Estrada—3,403. In addition, Aquino has accredited other FB pages, so you have the Noynoy for President Movement with 56,327 fans, Noynoy for President with 24,010, Yellow Ribbon for President Cory Aquino with 66,939 and Cebu Volunteers for Noynoy with 991 and Tsinoy for Noy with 394—a total of 148,661 in the accredited FB pages.

Another way to measure commitment to the candidates is by means of Twitter, where people can follow people and candidates they like. A total of 20,461 follow Noynoy Aquino’s and 22,116 follow Mar Roxas’ Twitter accounts, respectively; 15,541 follow Escudero’s; 4,190 follow Teodoro’s; and 585 follow Villar’s. On the other hand, Villar is the master of Friendster, with 14,727 friends followed by Escudero with 1,155, Aquino with 218, and Teodoro with 140. Villar also dominates Multiply with 2,541 connections, while Aquino has 89 and Teodoro, 29.

Experiments like the Election2010 application are being seriously misrepresented. Hopefully due to ignorance and nothing else.

[explorer]

i cannot understand why we have 3 presidential pools already here in tsikot. di ba pwede i-merge yung tatlo at pag-isahin nalang ng administrator or moderator?

[JackFlash]

Any idea on each one's accomplishments that benefited the public?

I mean reserving judgment on attitude and public relations, these candidates must have a list of their accomplishments.

I think they all have their respective web sites where accomplishments and qualifications are listed. Their public personae and reputations will either bolster or contradict what they have on paper.

[KERSMcRae]

>I think there are 2 "nuisance" candidate on our poll.
> I'll choose between "Yellow Ranger" and Mr "Red +"
> I dont like Mr. Alms Forces (Nat'l self-Defense) kahit 'maGaling at maTalino..lalo na yung sobra-kalsada-kulang-sa-lupa!

[tiquico]

Kung hindi pa ko nabura sa listahan sa Comelec (I wasn't able to vote the last two elections), iboboto ko either si Noynoy or Dick Gordon for Pres and either Mar or Bayan for VP.

[water]

Ayoko si c5 villar. (senador pa lang negosyante na)

Ayoko din si nonoy.(Dami namatay sa hacienda luisita na farmer. Nasa law na dapat makukuha yung lupa kaso ayaw ibigay ng aquino at conjuangco. Nagwewelga lang naman tapos pinag-babaril. Anong ginawa nya nung nangyari yun. Deadma lang sya.)

Ayoko rin si publicity dick gordon.(Nung ondoy gusto nya ipamukha na sya ang tumulong.

Si bayani gusto ko kaso vice president itatakbo nya. Blanko na lang ang presidente.

[INTREPID]

I voted for Noynoy in the old poll. But for this new poll, I voted for Gordon. The main reason: there is only one place in the Philippines where I really enjoy driving around, SBMA. I rest my case.

[rakenrol]

gordon bayani


period

[MAXBUWAYA]

gordon sana ako.

pero at this time

am being reasonable.

Am gonna go with P500

[oliver1013]

It will all boil down to Villar and Aquino....Gordon is the thinking man's choice but we all know its still Villar and Aquino at the end of the day..Conscience vote daw yung kay Gordon win or lose, at least binoto nila yun g talagang karapat dapat(tama nga naman pero)..what if you be realistic? give your precious vote to the winnable kahit alam mong not as good as your original vote kesa manalo yung babawiin yung laki ng nagastos thru corruption...

opinion lang ng maka Noynoy na naka kwentuhan ko

[tidus1203]

I am going for Aquino. Its more of an anti-Villar vote rather than a pro-Aquino vote...

[rael]

bigyan ng basehan ang pagpili... enough personality & popularity voting. this is the age old trick & mentality that gives erap, lito lapid & amay bisaya a fighting chance to win a position...

ask your candidates, "did you work hard for the position i'm about to give you?" if they didn't work hard for it, they don't deserve it... DO NOT GIVE THE PRESIDENCY AWAY FOR FREE!

A ‘simple and effective guide’ to evaluate your candidates
Side-by-Side Comparison of the 2010 Presidential Candidates

[Chaeul]

[SIZE="2"]I just registered here to vote this poll.

I polled for Noynoy cause I believe in his virtue. We all know that his parents are very good and fought for our country, even risking, risked their own lives without thinking twice. I believe in his leadership that can lead our country, Philippines in good status.

And ftw, I chose him cause the new black is YELLLOW [/SIZE]

[rael]

[SIZE=2]I just registered here to vote this poll.

I polled for Noynoy cause I believe in his virtue. We all know that his parents are very good and fought for our country, even risking, risked their own lives without thinking twice. I believe in his leadership that can lead our country, Philippines in good status.

And ftw, I chose him cause the new black is YELLLOW [/SIZE]

you just confirmed what we hated about the noynoy candidacy. thanks!

[safeorigin]

./facepalm

[tabularasa]

you just confirmed what we hated about the noynoy candidacy. thanks!

One has to respect a man's choice. One need not say what he hates about Noynoy, it seems that he made that choice based on what he perceived to be the right virtue of his candidate.