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May 9th, 2020 11:35 AM #1821
Kawawa kasi ang ordinaryong tao at yung mga healthcare personnel. Kaya need talaga combination ng mass testing, to check hot spot areas and to raise awareness and fear -in a good deterrent way - sa mga tao dun at quarantine facilities.
If hindi naman kasi critical or severe at puro mga asymptomatic lang yung mga natest din somehow good news yun. Iquarantine sila para hindi na manghawa plus give some form of freedom para sa mga tao sa areas na yun para makapagtrabaho na. Yes to reduced movements and operations sa areas na mataas pa positive cases pero hindi yung full shutdown mode.
Yun dapat gawin ng national at local govt para kahit papano hindi sobrang costly sa part nila and at the same time hindi magiging sobra reliance ng mga tao sa ayuda. The government must find a middle ground na kasi sobrang tagal na 2 months.
Sent from my SM-N960F/DS using TapatalkLast edited by Ry_Tower; May 9th, 2020 at 11:44 AM.
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May 9th, 2020 11:52 AM #1822
that's not hypothetical
that will happen
you reopen the economy while there's still a highly contagious virus spreading more people will definitely get infected and about 10% will develop severe symptoms and need hospitalization
that's why the gov't should build up healthcare capacity during the lockdown to be ready when the economy is reopens
mild cases should be put quarantine centers instead of hospitals so hospitals will have room for severe cases only
are there enough quarantine centers? probably not
are there enough ICUs/ventilators? probably not
the healthcare system is not overwhelmed now but can it be overwhelmed when the economy reopens? YES
then the gov't implements another lockdown
this is modeling from imperial london back in March
they project on again off again gov't intervention all the way out to 2021
i will reply to the other half of your post later
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May 9th, 2020 12:20 PM #1823
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May 9th, 2020 12:45 PM #1824
Just to think 2 months ago, job security wasn't an issue Now millions are out of work, with little prospect makakuha sila ng job agad. Maraming tao will develop mental problems because of this.
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May 9th, 2020 12:55 PM #1825
the longer you maintain the lockdown the harder it is for the economy to bounce back
people are using their savings during lockdown
when the economy reopens people aren't going shopping agad
they'll be rebuilding their savings
that's for those who still have a job to go back to
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companies have cut capex
that's gonna reverberate all throughout the economy
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May 9th, 2020 01:19 PM #1826
And if the economy remains relatively stable inspite of the pandemic, everyone will be praising the government, right? PHP is still stable, right? Credit rating is still good, right? So why extend the lockdown and risk a blacklash? So the lifting is purely to save face and avoid a public outrage. Let's deal with wave 2 when it comes later.
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May 9th, 2020 01:36 PM #1827
HA! you underestimate the common Filipinos' mindset and spending habits! Mga galit sa pera!
Anyhow, for the economy to bounce back, we should capitalise on what we do best: service. kaso social distancing so nada!
so 2nd best which is the industrial sector. Sana the gov will prioritise this sector and yung funding nila for services, malipat sana bulk dito.
3rd contributor is agriculture. If only we can restart the agriculture sector of the PH, at least we wont rely much on imports. For sure our GDP will bounce back in no time.
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May 9th, 2020 02:17 PM #1829
every government had to spend more money coz of this virus
US
di ko alam ano ang point mo at ano ang dapat
hindi ba dapat gumastos nang malaki ang gobyerno natin to make up for the lost economic activity from the private sector?
ung pera na dapat nag circulate sa economy since mid-March nawala
the least the gov't can do is replace some of the money to keep the economy alive
we're not even talking about stimulus
it's emergency blood tranfusion due to massive blood loss
the gov't is considering lifting ECQ coz hindi na talaga kaya
the gov't cannot support the economy by itself
di niya kaya bigyan nang bigyan ng pera mga tao na walang sweldo habang lockdown
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ano ang dapat?
extend lockdown para hindi mag 2nd wave?
as if hindi na-consider ng gobyerno na pwede mag second wave
paulit ulit minemention sa TV ang 2nd wave tuwing may gov't official na iniinterview
sabi nga ng isang tsikot member mahirap ung desisyonLast edited by uls; May 9th, 2020 at 02:21 PM.
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May 9th, 2020 02:28 PM #1830
rosy theoretical stuff
i'll just wait for econ data
Q1 -0.2%
Q2 is already in deep contraction
Q3 will be struggling (that is if there's no lockdown)
and Q4?
Christmas season 2020 will be far from previous Christmas seasons
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OFW remittances (one of the main drivers of the economy) will definitely be reduced this yearLast edited by uls; May 9th, 2020 at 02:31 PM.
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